Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 21–22°C minimum in São Paulo on August 29 because current model guidance and observational trends point to overnight lows in that narrow range under a stable, warm air mass. Partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures well above the late-August climatological minimum near 12°C. Official forecasts from agencies such as Climatempo and the Met Office consistently show a daytime peak near 32–34°C followed by a nighttime floor of 20–24°C, with no cold-front passage or enhanced radiational cooling expected before midnight. Recent upper-air analyses confirm subsidence and dry conditions that suppress further temperature drops, while the next significant cooling and moisture arrive only on subsequent days. Market-implied odds therefore reflect the consensus minimum range supported by the latest model runs and real-time surface observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 29?
22°C 91%
18°C 1%
19°C 1%
13°C or below <1%
$1,435 Vol.
$1,435 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
29%
21°C
38%
22°C
69%
23°C or higher
<1%
22°C 91%
18°C 1%
19°C 1%
13°C or below <1%
$1,435 Vol.
$1,435 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
13°C or below
$32 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$262 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$96 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$133 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$111 Vol.
1%
19°C
$115 Vol.
1%
20°C
$156 Vol.
29%
21°C
$28 Vol.
38%
22°C
$177 Vol.
69%
23°C or higher
$290 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 21–22°C minimum in São Paulo on August 29 because current model guidance and observational trends point to overnight lows in that narrow range under a stable, warm air mass. Partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures well above the late-August climatological minimum near 12°C. Official forecasts from agencies such as Climatempo and the Met Office consistently show a daytime peak near 32–34°C followed by a nighttime floor of 20–24°C, with no cold-front passage or enhanced radiational cooling expected before midnight. Recent upper-air analyses confirm subsidence and dry conditions that suppress further temperature drops, while the next significant cooling and moisture arrive only on subsequent days. Market-implied odds therefore reflect the consensus minimum range supported by the latest model runs and real-time surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volume
$1,435Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 21–22°C minimum in São Paulo on August 29 because current model guidance and observational trends point to overnight lows in that narrow range under a stable, warm air mass. Partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures well above the late-August climatological minimum near 12°C. Official forecasts from agencies such as Climatempo and the Met Office consistently show a daytime peak near 32–34°C followed by a nighttime floor of 20–24°C, with no cold-front passage or enhanced radiational cooling expected before midnight. Recent upper-air analyses confirm subsidence and dry conditions that suppress further temperature drops, while the next significant cooling and moisture arrive only on subsequent days. Market-implied odds therefore reflect the consensus minimum range supported by the latest model runs and real-time surface observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,435Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 21–22°C minimum in São Paulo on August 29 because current model guidance and observational trends point to overnight lows in that narrow range under a stable, warm air mass. Partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds have limited radiative cooling, keeping temperatures well above the late-August climatological minimum near 12°C. Official forecasts from agencies such as Climatempo and the Met Office consistently show a daytime peak near 32–34°C followed by a nighttime floor of 20–24°C, with no cold-front passage or enhanced radiational cooling expected before midnight. Recent upper-air analyses confirm subsidence and dry conditions that suppress further temperature drops, while the next significant cooling and moisture arrive only on subsequent days. Market-implied odds therefore reflect the consensus minimum range supported by the latest model runs and real-time surface observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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