Recent rainfall and cloud cover through August 28 have suppressed daytime heating in Beijing, but clearing skies and subsidence under the western edge of the subtropical high are expected to boost insolation on the 29th. Numerical models such as ECMWF and GFS show consensus around a 30–32 °C maximum, with spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, residual moisture, and exact wind speeds. Historical late-August climatology places typical highs near 29–30 °C, yet the current drier, sunnier regime supports the market’s tight clustering on 31 °C (31 % implied) ahead of 30 °C and 32 °C. Updated CMA guidance and the next model runs will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
31°C 31%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
29°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
6%
29°C
14%
30°C
26%
31°C
31%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
31°C 31%
30°C 26%
32°C 22%
29°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
2%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5 Vol.
6%
29°C
$0 Vol.
14%
30°C
$0 Vol.
26%
31°C
$0 Vol.
31%
32°C
$6 Vol.
22%
33°C
$0 Vol.
5%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and cloud cover through August 28 have suppressed daytime heating in Beijing, but clearing skies and subsidence under the western edge of the subtropical high are expected to boost insolation on the 29th. Numerical models such as ECMWF and GFS show consensus around a 30–32 °C maximum, with spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, residual moisture, and exact wind speeds. Historical late-August climatology places typical highs near 29–30 °C, yet the current drier, sunnier regime supports the market’s tight clustering on 31 °C (31 % implied) ahead of 30 °C and 32 °C. Updated CMA guidance and the next model runs will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$11Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and cloud cover through August 28 have suppressed daytime heating in Beijing, but clearing skies and subsidence under the western edge of the subtropical high are expected to boost insolation on the 29th. Numerical models such as ECMWF and GFS show consensus around a 30–32 °C maximum, with spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, residual moisture, and exact wind speeds. Historical late-August climatology places typical highs near 29–30 °C, yet the current drier, sunnier regime supports the market’s tight clustering on 31 °C (31 % implied) ahead of 30 °C and 32 °C. Updated CMA guidance and the next model runs will refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall and cloud cover through August 28 have suppressed daytime heating in Beijing, but clearing skies and subsidence under the western edge of the subtropical high are expected to boost insolation on the 29th. Numerical models such as ECMWF and GFS show consensus around a 30–32 °C maximum, with spread arising from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, residual moisture, and exact wind speeds. Historical late-August climatology places typical highs near 29–30 °C, yet the current drier, sunnier regime supports the market’s tight clustering on 31 °C (31 % implied) ahead of 30 °C and 32 °C. Updated CMA guidance and the next model runs will refine these thresholds before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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