**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight low of 18–19°C for Beijing on August 29, 2026, with light winds, clearing skies, and moderate humidity supporting radiative cooling after Friday’s rain.** Official and ensemble guidance (including GFS and ECMWF runs) shows temperatures bottoming near 19°C in the early morning hours before rising under mostly clear conditions, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 17–19°C outcomes. Clearer skies and light westerly to northwesterly flow after the 28th’s overcast, rainy period enhance overnight heat loss compared with the month’s typical ~20°C average low, yet residual moisture and the late-summer seasonal baseline prevent deeper drops. Model agreement remains high with minimal spread, though small revisions in dew-point forecasts or wind speed could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly, resulting in the observed near-parity between the top three outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 29?
14°C or below 50%
18°C 47%
17°C 40%
19°C 32%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
50%
15°C
5%
16°C
27%
17°C
40%
18°C
47%
19°C
32%
20°C
27%
21°C
4%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C or higher
4%
14°C or below 50%
18°C 47%
17°C 40%
19°C 32%
BARU
BARU
Aug 29, 2026
14°C or below
$5 Vol.
50%
15°C
$56 Vol.
5%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C
$0 Vol.
47%
19°C
$0 Vol.
32%
20°C
$0 Vol.
27%
21°C
$75 Vol.
4%
22°C
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C
$5 Vol.
8%
24°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight low of 18–19°C for Beijing on August 29, 2026, with light winds, clearing skies, and moderate humidity supporting radiative cooling after Friday’s rain.** Official and ensemble guidance (including GFS and ECMWF runs) shows temperatures bottoming near 19°C in the early morning hours before rising under mostly clear conditions, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 17–19°C outcomes.
Clearer skies and light westerly to northwesterly flow after the 28th’s overcast, rainy period enhance overnight heat loss compared with the month’s typical ~20°C average low, yet residual moisture and the late-summer seasonal baseline prevent deeper drops. Model agreement remains high with minimal spread, though small revisions in dew-point forecasts or wind speed could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly, resulting in the observed near-parity between the top three outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$151Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight low of 18–19°C for Beijing on August 29, 2026, with light winds, clearing skies, and moderate humidity supporting radiative cooling after Friday’s rain.** Official and ensemble guidance (including GFS and ECMWF runs) shows temperatures bottoming near 19°C in the early morning hours before rising under mostly clear conditions, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 17–19°C outcomes.
Clearer skies and light westerly to northwesterly flow after the 28th’s overcast, rainy period enhance overnight heat loss compared with the month’s typical ~20°C average low, yet residual moisture and the late-summer seasonal baseline prevent deeper drops. Model agreement remains high with minimal spread, though small revisions in dew-point forecasts or wind speed could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly, resulting in the observed near-parity between the top three outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$151Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to an overnight low of 18–19°C for Beijing on August 29, 2026, with light winds, clearing skies, and moderate humidity supporting radiative cooling after Friday’s rain.** Official and ensemble guidance (including GFS and ECMWF runs) shows temperatures bottoming near 19°C in the early morning hours before rising under mostly clear conditions, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around 17–19°C outcomes. Clearer skies and light westerly to northwesterly flow after the 28th’s overcast, rainy period enhance overnight heat loss compared with the month’s typical ~20°C average low, yet residual moisture and the late-summer seasonal baseline prevent deeper drops. Model agreement remains high with minimal spread, though small revisions in dew-point forecasts or wind speed could shift the exact minimum by 1°C. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly, resulting in the observed near-parity between the top three outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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