**Trader sentiment for Beijing's August 30 minimum temperature clusters tightly around 17–18°C (combined ~70% implied probability), with 20°C as a notable secondary option, reflecting consensus from multiple forecast models on a clear, dry night with light northerly winds.** These conditions promote efficient radiative cooling after a warm day, as reduced cloud cover and lower humidity allow surface heat to escape rapidly overnight. Recent days featured similar setups, including an observed low of 18.1°C on August 28, establishing a baseline for late-summer cooling in the region amid weakening monsoon influences. Differentiating the close 17°C versus 18°C outcomes hinges on subtle variables such as exact wind speeds (stronger northerlies enhance mixing and cooling), dew-point depressions, and any minor high-cloud interference that could trap heat. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island effects in Beijing introduce 1–2°C uncertainty, keeping probabilities balanced while 20°C or higher would require less cooling than currently anticipated. Official updates from sources like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Beijing on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 30?
15°C 49%
18°C 35%
17°C 35%
20°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
13%
14°C
16%
15°C
49%
16°C
24%
17°C
35%
18°C
35%
19°C
21%
20°C
26%
21°C
7%
22°C
14%
23°C or higher
25%
15°C 49%
18°C 35%
17°C 35%
20°C 26%
BARU
BARU
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
$5 Vol.
13%
14°C
$0 Vol.
16%
15°C
$0 Vol.
49%
16°C
$0 Vol.
24%
17°C
$0 Vol.
35%
18°C
$0 Vol.
35%
19°C
$0 Vol.
21%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$224 Vol.
7%
22°C
$5 Vol.
14%
23°C or higher
$5 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing's August 30 minimum temperature clusters tightly around 17–18°C (combined ~70% implied probability), with 20°C as a notable secondary option, reflecting consensus from multiple forecast models on a clear, dry night with light northerly winds.**
These conditions promote efficient radiative cooling after a warm day, as reduced cloud cover and lower humidity allow surface heat to escape rapidly overnight. Recent days featured similar setups, including an observed low of 18.1°C on August 28, establishing a baseline for late-summer cooling in the region amid weakening monsoon influences.
Differentiating the close 17°C versus 18°C outcomes hinges on subtle variables such as exact wind speeds (stronger northerlies enhance mixing and cooling), dew-point depressions, and any minor high-cloud interference that could trap heat. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island effects in Beijing introduce 1–2°C uncertainty, keeping probabilities balanced while 20°C or higher would require less cooling than currently anticipated. Official updates from sources like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$239Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Beijing's August 30 minimum temperature clusters tightly around 17–18°C (combined ~70% implied probability), with 20°C as a notable secondary option, reflecting consensus from multiple forecast models on a clear, dry night with light northerly winds.**
These conditions promote efficient radiative cooling after a warm day, as reduced cloud cover and lower humidity allow surface heat to escape rapidly overnight. Recent days featured similar setups, including an observed low of 18.1°C on August 28, establishing a baseline for late-summer cooling in the region amid weakening monsoon influences.
Differentiating the close 17°C versus 18°C outcomes hinges on subtle variables such as exact wind speeds (stronger northerlies enhance mixing and cooling), dew-point depressions, and any minor high-cloud interference that could trap heat. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island effects in Beijing introduce 1–2°C uncertainty, keeping probabilities balanced while 20°C or higher would require less cooling than currently anticipated. Official updates from sources like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$239Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 30, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Beijing's August 30 minimum temperature clusters tightly around 17–18°C (combined ~70% implied probability), with 20°C as a notable secondary option, reflecting consensus from multiple forecast models on a clear, dry night with light northerly winds.** These conditions promote efficient radiative cooling after a warm day, as reduced cloud cover and lower humidity allow surface heat to escape rapidly overnight. Recent days featured similar setups, including an observed low of 18.1°C on August 28, establishing a baseline for late-summer cooling in the region amid weakening monsoon influences. Differentiating the close 17°C versus 18°C outcomes hinges on subtle variables such as exact wind speeds (stronger northerlies enhance mixing and cooling), dew-point depressions, and any minor high-cloud interference that could trap heat. Ensemble model spreads and urban heat-island effects in Beijing introduce 1–2°C uncertainty, keeping probabilities balanced while 20°C or higher would require less cooling than currently anticipated. Official updates from sources like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these details ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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