Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 31 in Guangzhou are the main factors capping daytime heating, with official guidance from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no converging on highs near 30–31 °C amid 85–99 % rain probability and northeasterly flow. This aligns below the 33 °C climatological average for the date and follows cooler, rain-suppressed conditions on August 30 after hotter readings near 34–35 °C on the 29th. Close market-implied odds across 32–34 °C reflect uncertainty over exact rainfall timing and intensity, which could allow brief breaks in cloud allowing slightly higher peaks, while high humidity and urban effects add minor variability. Fresh GFS and CMA model updates in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 31?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 31?
32°C 26%
33°C 23%
34°C 20%
35°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
17%
32°C
26%
33°C
23%
34°C
23%
35°C
11%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 26%
33°C 23%
34°C 20%
35°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
26°C or below
$346 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$30 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$12 Vol.
17%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33°C
$0 Vol.
23%
34°C
$71 Vol.
23%
35°C
$1 Vol.
11%
36°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 31 in Guangzhou are the main factors capping daytime heating, with official guidance from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no converging on highs near 30–31 °C amid 85–99 % rain probability and northeasterly flow. This aligns below the 33 °C climatological average for the date and follows cooler, rain-suppressed conditions on August 30 after hotter readings near 34–35 °C on the 29th. Close market-implied odds across 32–34 °C reflect uncertainty over exact rainfall timing and intensity, which could allow brief breaks in cloud allowing slightly higher peaks, while high humidity and urban effects add minor variability. Fresh GFS and CMA model updates in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$662Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 31 in Guangzhou are the main factors capping daytime heating, with official guidance from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no converging on highs near 30–31 °C amid 85–99 % rain probability and northeasterly flow. This aligns below the 33 °C climatological average for the date and follows cooler, rain-suppressed conditions on August 30 after hotter readings near 34–35 °C on the 29th. Close market-implied odds across 32–34 °C reflect uncertainty over exact rainfall timing and intensity, which could allow brief breaks in cloud allowing slightly higher peaks, while high humidity and urban effects add minor variability. Fresh GFS and CMA model updates in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$662Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 31 in Guangzhou are the main factors capping daytime heating, with official guidance from sources like WeatherBug and Yr.no converging on highs near 30–31 °C amid 85–99 % rain probability and northeasterly flow. This aligns below the 33 °C climatological average for the date and follows cooler, rain-suppressed conditions on August 30 after hotter readings near 34–35 °C on the 29th. Close market-implied odds across 32–34 °C reflect uncertainty over exact rainfall timing and intensity, which could allow brief breaks in cloud allowing slightly higher peaks, while high humidity and urban effects add minor variability. Fresh GFS and CMA model updates in the next 24–48 hours will provide the clearest resolution signals.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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