**Recent official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a high of 16–17 °C for Cape Town on Monday, August 31, under clearing high-pressure influence and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 17 °C (38 %) and 18 °C (27 %), reflecting trader consensus on stable late-winter conditions rather than significant warming or cooling. August climatology for Cape Town shows typical maximum temperatures of 17–19 °C, with recent observed highs fluctuating between 16–19 °C amid variable cloud and showers. The current setup features a building ridge that should suppress cloud cover and limit daytime heating, keeping the daily peak near the lower end of seasonal norms. Minor model spread exists around wind strength and exact insolation, which explains why 18–19 °C still carry meaningful implied probability while probabilities drop sharply above 20 °C or below 16 °C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, so fresh SAWS or NWP updates on Sunday will be the key near-term catalyst for any adjustment in these market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 31?
17°C 37%
18°C 27%
20°C 26%
19°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
4%
13°C
4%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
10%
17°C
37%
18°C
27%
19°C
15%
20°C
26%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 37%
18°C 27%
20°C 26%
19°C 15%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
12°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
13°C
$0 Vol.
4%
14°C
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C
$0 Vol.
6%
16°C
$117 Vol.
10%
17°C
$44 Vol.
37%
18°C
$0 Vol.
27%
19°C
$238 Vol.
15%
20°C
$0 Vol.
26%
21°C
$0 Vol.
4%
22°C or higher
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a high of 16–17 °C for Cape Town on Monday, August 31, under clearing high-pressure influence and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 17 °C (38 %) and 18 °C (27 %), reflecting trader consensus on stable late-winter conditions rather than significant warming or cooling.
August climatology for Cape Town shows typical maximum temperatures of 17–19 °C, with recent observed highs fluctuating between 16–19 °C amid variable cloud and showers. The current setup features a building ridge that should suppress cloud cover and limit daytime heating, keeping the daily peak near the lower end of seasonal norms. Minor model spread exists around wind strength and exact insolation, which explains why 18–19 °C still carry meaningful implied probability while probabilities drop sharply above 20 °C or below 16 °C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, so fresh SAWS or NWP updates on Sunday will be the key near-term catalyst for any adjustment in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$399Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a high of 16–17 °C for Cape Town on Monday, August 31, under clearing high-pressure influence and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 17 °C (38 %) and 18 °C (27 %), reflecting trader consensus on stable late-winter conditions rather than significant warming or cooling.
August climatology for Cape Town shows typical maximum temperatures of 17–19 °C, with recent observed highs fluctuating between 16–19 °C amid variable cloud and showers. The current setup features a building ridge that should suppress cloud cover and limit daytime heating, keeping the daily peak near the lower end of seasonal norms. Minor model spread exists around wind strength and exact insolation, which explains why 18–19 °C still carry meaningful implied probability while probabilities drop sharply above 20 °C or below 16 °C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, so fresh SAWS or NWP updates on Sunday will be the key near-term catalyst for any adjustment in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$399Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and global models indicate a high of 16–17 °C for Cape Town on Monday, August 31, under clearing high-pressure influence and light southerly winds.** This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes at 17 °C (38 %) and 18 °C (27 %), reflecting trader consensus on stable late-winter conditions rather than significant warming or cooling. August climatology for Cape Town shows typical maximum temperatures of 17–19 °C, with recent observed highs fluctuating between 16–19 °C amid variable cloud and showers. The current setup features a building ridge that should suppress cloud cover and limit daytime heating, keeping the daily peak near the lower end of seasonal norms. Minor model spread exists around wind strength and exact insolation, which explains why 18–19 °C still carry meaningful implied probability while probabilities drop sharply above 20 °C or below 16 °C. No major synoptic shifts are expected before resolution, so fresh SAWS or NWP updates on Sunday will be the key near-term catalyst for any adjustment in these market-implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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