Strong precipitation and cold air advection from the east and north have driven the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for a 27°C daily maximum on August 29. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau forecasts and numerical models highlight a major rainfall event beginning late on the 28th, with widespread moderate to heavy rain, embedded thunderstorms, and 6–9 grade gusts suppressing insolation and promoting evaporative cooling across western districts and the urban core. This follows several days of 37–40°C highs under subtropical high pressure. Consensus guidance from multiple sources projects center-city highs of 26–31°C amid persistent cloud cover and rain, aligning closely with the 27°C bin at the primary NOAA station. A materially weaker or delayed convective outbreak could allow brief afternoon warming toward 29–30°C, though current model agreement and observed moisture make such an outcome improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 29?
27°C 97%
28°C 4%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$43,800 Vol.
$43,800 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
97%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 97%
28°C 4%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$43,800 Vol.
$43,800 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
97%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong precipitation and cold air advection from the east and north have driven the market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability for a 27°C daily maximum on August 29. Official Chongqing Meteorological Bureau forecasts and numerical models highlight a major rainfall event beginning late on the 28th, with widespread moderate to heavy rain, embedded thunderstorms, and 6–9 grade gusts suppressing insolation and promoting evaporative cooling across western districts and the urban core. This follows several days of 37–40°C highs under subtropical high pressure. Consensus guidance from multiple sources projects center-city highs of 26–31°C amid persistent cloud cover and rain, aligning closely with the 27°C bin at the primary NOAA station. A materially weaker or delayed convective outbreak could allow brief afternoon warming toward 29–30°C, though current model agreement and observed moisture make such an outcome improbable.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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