**Persistent Atlantic low-pressure systems and associated cloud cover with widespread showers and thunderstorms are moderating daytime heating in Amsterdam, positioning 19–20°C as the consensus range for the daily maximum on August 31, 2026.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS-derived models show southwesterly flow bringing repeated precipitation, with highs limited to around 19–20°C (66–68°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies and high humidity. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 20°C (45.5%) and 19°C (26.5%), while cooler outcomes like 18°C (11%) reflect downside risk from heavier rain bands and limited insolation. Warmer possibilities above 21°C remain low-probability (under 12% combined) absent rapid clearing. Climatologically, late-August maxima average near 21°C, but the current setup deviates due to an amplified trough enhancing cyclonic activity and suppressing radiative warming. Key resolution factors include the exact timing and intensity of thunderstorm activity on the 31st, which will determine peak solar exposure; updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine this. Traders are weighting the strong consensus for a cooler, unsettled day over historical norms.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 31?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 31?
20°C 46%
19°C 27%
17°C 14%
18°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
14%
18°C
11%
19°C
27%
20°C
46%
21°C
9%
22°C
3%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
1%
20°C 46%
19°C 27%
17°C 14%
18°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
14°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$61 Vol.
1%
17°C
$0 Vol.
14%
18°C
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$2 Vol.
27%
20°C
$39 Vol.
46%
21°C
$31 Vol.
9%
22°C
$3 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent Atlantic low-pressure systems and associated cloud cover with widespread showers and thunderstorms are moderating daytime heating in Amsterdam, positioning 19–20°C as the consensus range for the daily maximum on August 31, 2026.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS-derived models show southwesterly flow bringing repeated precipitation, with highs limited to around 19–20°C (66–68°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies and high humidity. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 20°C (45.5%) and 19°C (26.5%), while cooler outcomes like 18°C (11%) reflect downside risk from heavier rain bands and limited insolation. Warmer possibilities above 21°C remain low-probability (under 12% combined) absent rapid clearing.
Climatologically, late-August maxima average near 21°C, but the current setup deviates due to an amplified trough enhancing cyclonic activity and suppressing radiative warming. Key resolution factors include the exact timing and intensity of thunderstorm activity on the 31st, which will determine peak solar exposure; updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine this. Traders are weighting the strong consensus for a cooler, unsettled day over historical norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$147Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent Atlantic low-pressure systems and associated cloud cover with widespread showers and thunderstorms are moderating daytime heating in Amsterdam, positioning 19–20°C as the consensus range for the daily maximum on August 31, 2026.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS-derived models show southwesterly flow bringing repeated precipitation, with highs limited to around 19–20°C (66–68°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies and high humidity. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 20°C (45.5%) and 19°C (26.5%), while cooler outcomes like 18°C (11%) reflect downside risk from heavier rain bands and limited insolation. Warmer possibilities above 21°C remain low-probability (under 12% combined) absent rapid clearing.
Climatologically, late-August maxima average near 21°C, but the current setup deviates due to an amplified trough enhancing cyclonic activity and suppressing radiative warming. Key resolution factors include the exact timing and intensity of thunderstorm activity on the 31st, which will determine peak solar exposure; updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine this. Traders are weighting the strong consensus for a cooler, unsettled day over historical norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$147Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent Atlantic low-pressure systems and associated cloud cover with widespread showers and thunderstorms are moderating daytime heating in Amsterdam, positioning 19–20°C as the consensus range for the daily maximum on August 31, 2026.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources including GFS-derived models show southwesterly flow bringing repeated precipitation, with highs limited to around 19–20°C (66–68°F) under mostly cloudy to overcast skies and high humidity. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 20°C (45.5%) and 19°C (26.5%), while cooler outcomes like 18°C (11%) reflect downside risk from heavier rain bands and limited insolation. Warmer possibilities above 21°C remain low-probability (under 12% combined) absent rapid clearing. Climatologically, late-August maxima average near 21°C, but the current setup deviates due to an amplified trough enhancing cyclonic activity and suppressing radiative warming. Key resolution factors include the exact timing and intensity of thunderstorm activity on the 31st, which will determine peak solar exposure; updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will refine this. Traders are weighting the strong consensus for a cooler, unsettled day over historical norms.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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