Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate a high near 89°F for Miami on August 29, with mostly sunny morning conditions giving way to showers and thunderstorms likely after 2pm that will limit afternoon heating. This pattern, driven by easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze convergence typical of late-summer Florida, supports the market's strong weighting toward the 90-91°F bin. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover reduce peak insolation, keeping temperatures from reaching the mid-90s that occurred earlier in August, while historical late-August averages near 90°F provide additional context for the current trader consensus. Updated model runs and NHC guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Miami on August 29?
90-91°F 52%
92-93°F 21%
88-89°F 21%
86-87°F 5.3%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
21%
90-91°F
52%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
3%
96°F or higher
2%
90-91°F 52%
92-93°F 21%
88-89°F 21%
86-87°F 5.3%
77°F or below
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
21%
90-91°F
52%
92-93°F
21%
94-95°F
3%
96°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and other agencies indicate a high near 89°F for Miami on August 29, with mostly sunny morning conditions giving way to showers and thunderstorms likely after 2pm that will limit afternoon heating. This pattern, driven by easterly flow, high boundary-layer moisture, and sea-breeze convergence typical of late-summer Florida, supports the market's strong weighting toward the 90-91°F bin. Afternoon convection and associated cloud cover reduce peak insolation, keeping temperatures from reaching the mid-90s that occurred earlier in August, while historical late-August averages near 90°F provide additional context for the current trader consensus. Updated model runs and NHC guidance over the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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