Recent forecasts for Istanbul on August 30 show highs clustering near 26–28°C amid a post-frontal clearing trend after cooler, showery conditions earlier in the week that suppressed temperatures 4–6°C below seasonal norms. Northerly winds and partial cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating, with model outputs diverging on peak timing and exact insolation. This uncertainty underpins the tight market split between 26°C and 27°C, as small shifts in wind strength or residual moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical late-August averages near 28–29°C provide context, yet current atmospheric steering favors the lower end of the typical range. Updated model runs and official observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 30?
26°C 42%
27°C 41%
25°C 10%
28°C 7%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
42%
27°C
41%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 42%
27°C 41%
25°C 10%
28°C 7%
22°C or below
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
10%
26°C
42%
27°C
41%
28°C
7%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Istanbul on August 30 show highs clustering near 26–28°C amid a post-frontal clearing trend after cooler, showery conditions earlier in the week that suppressed temperatures 4–6°C below seasonal norms. Northerly winds and partial cloud cover are expected to limit daytime heating, with model outputs diverging on peak timing and exact insolation. This uncertainty underpins the tight market split between 26°C and 27°C, as small shifts in wind strength or residual moisture could tip the daily maximum by 1°C. Historical late-August averages near 28–29°C provide context, yet current atmospheric steering favors the lower end of the typical range. Updated model runs and official observations will refine resolution criteria ahead of market close.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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