Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 31 are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities clustered around 25–26°C lows in Shenzhen. Subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and minimal radiative cooling overnight typically produce minimum temperatures near the long-term August average of 25°C. Official guidance from regional models shows lows of 25–26°C under continued rain and overcast skies, limiting the chance of significant drops. Trader positioning reflects this consensus while assigning secondary weight to 22°C-or-below scenarios that would require unexpected clear-sky cooling or a brief cold-air intrusion not currently indicated in the latest runs. Updated forecasts ahead of the 31st will refine these odds as model consensus evolves.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 31?
22°C or below 88%
32°C or higher 81%
29°C 49%
25°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
88%
23°C
43%
24°C
30%
25°C
49%
26°C
45%
27°C
34%
28°C
44%
29°C
49%
30°C
2%
31°C
45%
32°C or higher
81%
22°C or below 88%
32°C or higher 81%
29°C 49%
25°C 49%
BARU
BARU
Aug 31, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
88%
23°C
$0 Vol.
43%
24°C
$0 Vol.
30%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
45%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$0 Vol.
44%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C
$0 Vol.
2%
31°C
$0 Vol.
45%
32°C or higher
$130 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 31 are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities clustered around 25–26°C lows in Shenzhen. Subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and minimal radiative cooling overnight typically produce minimum temperatures near the long-term August average of 25°C. Official guidance from regional models shows lows of 25–26°C under continued rain and overcast skies, limiting the chance of significant drops. Trader positioning reflects this consensus while assigning secondary weight to 22°C-or-below scenarios that would require unexpected clear-sky cooling or a brief cold-air intrusion not currently indicated in the latest runs. Updated forecasts ahead of the 31st will refine these odds as model consensus evolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$130Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 31 are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities clustered around 25–26°C lows in Shenzhen. Subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and minimal radiative cooling overnight typically produce minimum temperatures near the long-term August average of 25°C. Official guidance from regional models shows lows of 25–26°C under continued rain and overcast skies, limiting the chance of significant drops. Trader positioning reflects this consensus while assigning secondary weight to 22°C-or-below scenarios that would require unexpected clear-sky cooling or a brief cold-air intrusion not currently indicated in the latest runs. Updated forecasts ahead of the 31st will refine these odds as model consensus evolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$130Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and widespread thunderstorms forecast for August 31 are the main drivers keeping implied probabilities clustered around 25–26°C lows in Shenzhen. Subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity and minimal radiative cooling overnight typically produce minimum temperatures near the long-term August average of 25°C. Official guidance from regional models shows lows of 25–26°C under continued rain and overcast skies, limiting the chance of significant drops. Trader positioning reflects this consensus while assigning secondary weight to 22°C-or-below scenarios that would require unexpected clear-sky cooling or a brief cold-air intrusion not currently indicated in the latest runs. Updated forecasts ahead of the 31st will refine these odds as model consensus evolves.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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