Recent forecast model consensus from sources like ilMeteo and global ensembles points to a peak temperature in Milan of 29–30°C on August 29 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. High pressure promotes strong daytime radiative heating with low humidity aiding efficient warming, while subtle differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or local urban effects can shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Stable steering patterns and limited model spread over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Final NWP updates and observational adjustments in the next day will likely resolve the narrow gap between the leading bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Milan on August 29?
30°C 39%
29°C 33%
31°C 13%
28°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
33%
30°C
39%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 39%
29°C 33%
31°C 13%
28°C 9%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
33%
30°C
39%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from sources like ilMeteo and global ensembles points to a peak temperature in Milan of 29–30°C on August 29 under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, supporting the near-even market split between those two outcomes. High pressure promotes strong daytime radiative heating with low humidity aiding efficient warming, while subtle differences in afternoon cloud timing, boundary-layer mixing, or local urban effects can shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Stable steering patterns and limited model spread over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities tightly clustered rather than favoring extremes. Final NWP updates and observational adjustments in the next day will likely resolve the narrow gap between the leading bins.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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