**Latest ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF, GFS, and ICON show Ankara peaking at 32–33°C on August 27 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture.** This produces the tight market split, as 32°C and 33°C capture nearly all implied probability while lower or higher outcomes remain marginal. Key differentiating factors include small variations in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and the exact timing of maximum insolation, which can shift the daily high by 1°C across model runs. Historical late-August climatology for Ankara supports highs near 30–32°C, but current high-pressure dominance favors the upper end without significant advection of cooler air. New model updates or observational adjustments from the Turkish State Meteorological Service could refine the peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on August 27?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 27?
33°C 48%
32°C 44%
31°C 4%
34°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
4%
32°C
44%
33°C
48%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 48%
32°C 44%
31°C 4%
34°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 27, 2026
28°C or below
$437 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$569 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$825 Vol.
4%
32°C
$916 Vol.
44%
33°C
$2,118 Vol.
48%
34°C
$764 Vol.
4%
35°C
$175 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$512 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$565 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$386 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF, GFS, and ICON show Ankara peaking at 32–33°C on August 27 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture.**
This produces the tight market split, as 32°C and 33°C capture nearly all implied probability while lower or higher outcomes remain marginal. Key differentiating factors include small variations in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and the exact timing of maximum insolation, which can shift the daily high by 1°C across model runs. Historical late-August climatology for Ankara supports highs near 30–32°C, but current high-pressure dominance favors the upper end without significant advection of cooler air. New model updates or observational adjustments from the Turkish State Meteorological Service could refine the peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$7,441Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF, GFS, and ICON show Ankara peaking at 32–33°C on August 27 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture.**
This produces the tight market split, as 32°C and 33°C capture nearly all implied probability while lower or higher outcomes remain marginal. Key differentiating factors include small variations in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and the exact timing of maximum insolation, which can shift the daily high by 1°C across model runs. Historical late-August climatology for Ankara supports highs near 30–32°C, but current high-pressure dominance favors the upper end without significant advection of cooler air. New model updates or observational adjustments from the Turkish State Meteorological Service could refine the peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,441Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 27, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF, GFS, and ICON show Ankara peaking at 32–33°C on August 27 under clear skies, light northerly winds, and strong daytime heating with minimal cloud cover or moisture.** This produces the tight market split, as 32°C and 33°C capture nearly all implied probability while lower or higher outcomes remain marginal. Key differentiating factors include small variations in boundary-layer mixing, surface sensible heat flux, and the exact timing of maximum insolation, which can shift the daily high by 1°C across model runs. Historical late-August climatology for Ankara supports highs near 30–32°C, but current high-pressure dominance favors the upper end without significant advection of cooler air. New model updates or observational adjustments from the Turkish State Meteorological Service could refine the peak before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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