Recent official forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service and global models indicate a peak temperature in Munich of 25–27°C on August 26, with partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk supporting the market's strong 72.5% implied probability for 27°C. Afternoon observations and hourly projections cluster near 25–26°C, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer conditions without significant advection of warmer air masses. Minor model spreads account for the secondary probabilities on 26°C and 28°C, while the low odds below 25°C or at 29°C+ align with the absence of heat-wave signals or unexpected warming in current runs. Updated model outputs through the afternoon will further refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Munich on August 26?
27°C 71%
26°C 11%
28°C 10%
25°C 2%
$33,626 Vol.
$33,626 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
71%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 71%
26°C 11%
28°C 10%
25°C 2%
$33,626 Vol.
$33,626 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
11%
27°C
71%
28°C
10%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the German Weather Service and global models indicate a peak temperature in Munich of 25–27°C on August 26, with partly cloudy skies, light variable winds, and minimal precipitation risk supporting the market's strong 72.5% implied probability for 27°C. Afternoon observations and hourly projections cluster near 25–26°C, reflecting stable high-pressure influence and typical late-summer conditions without significant advection of warmer air masses. Minor model spreads account for the secondary probabilities on 26°C and 28°C, while the low odds below 25°C or at 29°C+ align with the absence of heat-wave signals or unexpected warming in current runs. Updated model outputs through the afternoon will further refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan