Recent model consensus and official guidance point to widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moderate to heavy rainfall across the Pearl River Delta on August 26, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and weak steering flow, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. This setup favors a peak near 30–32 °C rather than the seasonal late-August average of ~33 °C, explaining the near-even market split between 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include forecast timing of heaviest rain bands, local urban heat-island effects, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
32°C 34%
31°C 25%
33°C 16%
30°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
25%
32°C
34%
33°C
16%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 34%
31°C 25%
33°C 16%
30°C 10%
BARU
BARU
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
$88 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$188 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$80 Vol.
1%
28°C
$70 Vol.
1%
29°C
$515 Vol.
4%
30°C
$186 Vol.
10%
31°C
$278 Vol.
25%
32°C
$162 Vol.
34%
33°C
$188 Vol.
16%
34°C
$312 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$88 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance point to widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moderate to heavy rainfall across the Pearl River Delta on August 26, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and weak steering flow, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. This setup favors a peak near 30–32 °C rather than the seasonal late-August average of ~33 °C, explaining the near-even market split between 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include forecast timing of heaviest rain bands, local urban heat-island effects, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,155Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and official guidance point to widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moderate to heavy rainfall across the Pearl River Delta on August 26, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and weak steering flow, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. This setup favors a peak near 30–32 °C rather than the seasonal late-August average of ~33 °C, explaining the near-even market split between 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include forecast timing of heaviest rain bands, local urban heat-island effects, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,155Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 26, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and official guidance point to widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moderate to heavy rainfall across the Pearl River Delta on August 26, driven by lingering monsoon moisture and weak steering flow, which limits solar heating and caps daytime maxima. This setup favors a peak near 30–32 °C rather than the seasonal late-August average of ~33 °C, explaining the near-even market split between 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes. Key differentiating factors include forecast timing of heaviest rain bands, local urban heat-island effects, and any late-day clearing that could allow brief additional warming. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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