Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF places Paris’s August 25 maximum near 25–27 °C amid post-heatwave transition, with increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest northerly advection reducing surface heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 26–28 °C outcomes because these align with ensemble means while late-August climatology favors 23–25 °C highs; uncertainty stems from timing of convective clouds and any clearing that could allow brief intensification. Key variables include boundary-layer mixing, precipitation duration, and small shifts in 500 hPa heights that could nudge the peak across resolution thresholds. New model cycles expected within 24 hours will likely refine the distribution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 25?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 25?
27°C 34%
26°C 24%
28°C 18%
25°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
24%
27°C
34%
28°C
18%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 34%
26°C 24%
28°C 18%
25°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 25, 2026
22°C or below
$354 Vol.
2%
23°C
$198 Vol.
2%
24°C
$173 Vol.
2%
25°C
$320 Vol.
11%
26°C
$470 Vol.
24%
27°C
$501 Vol.
34%
28°C
$372 Vol.
18%
29°C
$333 Vol.
7%
30°C
$79 Vol.
2%
31°C
$35 Vol.
2%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF places Paris’s August 25 maximum near 25–27 °C amid post-heatwave transition, with increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest northerly advection reducing surface heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 26–28 °C outcomes because these align with ensemble means while late-August climatology favors 23–25 °C highs; uncertainty stems from timing of convective clouds and any clearing that could allow brief intensification. Key variables include boundary-layer mixing, precipitation duration, and small shifts in 500 hPa heights that could nudge the peak across resolution thresholds. New model cycles expected within 24 hours will likely refine the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,841Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF places Paris’s August 25 maximum near 25–27 °C amid post-heatwave transition, with increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest northerly advection reducing surface heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 26–28 °C outcomes because these align with ensemble means while late-August climatology favors 23–25 °C highs; uncertainty stems from timing of convective clouds and any clearing that could allow brief intensification. Key variables include boundary-layer mixing, precipitation duration, and small shifts in 500 hPa heights that could nudge the peak across resolution thresholds. New model cycles expected within 24 hours will likely refine the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,841Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 25, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF places Paris’s August 25 maximum near 25–27 °C amid post-heatwave transition, with increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and modest northerly advection reducing surface heating. Trader sentiment clusters on 26–28 °C outcomes because these align with ensemble means while late-August climatology favors 23–25 °C highs; uncertainty stems from timing of convective clouds and any clearing that could allow brief intensification. Key variables include boundary-layer mixing, precipitation duration, and small shifts in 500 hPa heights that could nudge the peak across resolution thresholds. New model cycles expected within 24 hours will likely refine the distribution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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