Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome have sustained above-normal temperatures across Southeast Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for mostly sunny skies and highs near 100°F in Houston on August 23 amid very low rain chances. This setup favors maximum solar heating and aligns with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 56% implied probability, while recent model runs show limited potential for 102°F+ readings inland. The pattern exceeds typical late-August climatology of 93-97°F highs and follows multiple consecutive days under heat advisories with heat indices above 105°F, though any increase in afternoon moisture or slight steering changes could cap peaks closer to 98-99°F. Updated NWS guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these trader-assessed odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Houston on August 23?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 23?
100-101°F 56%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 16%
96-97°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
93°F or below
4%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
6%
98-99°F
28%
100-101°F
56%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
6%
106-107°F
4%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
2%
112°F or higher
1%
100-101°F 56%
98-99°F 28%
102-103°F 16%
96-97°F 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
93°F or below
$50 Vol.
4%
94-95°F
$37 Vol.
2%
96-97°F
$17 Vol.
6%
98-99°F
$36 Vol.
28%
100-101°F
$127 Vol.
56%
102-103°F
$10 Vol.
16%
104-105°F
$15 Vol.
6%
106-107°F
$37 Vol.
4%
108-109°F
$50 Vol.
2%
110-111°F
$45 Vol.
2%
112°F or higher
$45 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome have sustained above-normal temperatures across Southeast Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for mostly sunny skies and highs near 100°F in Houston on August 23 amid very low rain chances. This setup favors maximum solar heating and aligns with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 56% implied probability, while recent model runs show limited potential for 102°F+ readings inland. The pattern exceeds typical late-August climatology of 93-97°F highs and follows multiple consecutive days under heat advisories with heat indices above 105°F, though any increase in afternoon moisture or slight steering changes could cap peaks closer to 98-99°F. Updated NWS guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these trader-assessed odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Volume
$469Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome have sustained above-normal temperatures across Southeast Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for mostly sunny skies and highs near 100°F in Houston on August 23 amid very low rain chances. This setup favors maximum solar heating and aligns with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 56% implied probability, while recent model runs show limited potential for 102°F+ readings inland. The pattern exceeds typical late-August climatology of 93-97°F highs and follows multiple consecutive days under heat advisories with heat indices above 105°F, though any increase in afternoon moisture or slight steering changes could cap peaks closer to 98-99°F. Updated NWS guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these trader-assessed odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$469Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure and a strong heat dome have sustained above-normal temperatures across Southeast Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for mostly sunny skies and highs near 100°F in Houston on August 23 amid very low rain chances. This setup favors maximum solar heating and aligns with the market's leading 100-101°F outcome at 56% implied probability, while recent model runs show limited potential for 102°F+ readings inland. The pattern exceeds typical late-August climatology of 93-97°F highs and follows multiple consecutive days under heat advisories with heat indices above 105°F, though any increase in afternoon moisture or slight steering changes could cap peaks closer to 98-99°F. Updated NWS guidance and local observations tomorrow morning will refine these trader-assessed odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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