Official JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 22 point to a maximum near 32°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible later in the day, a setup that typically caps daytime peaks through reduced solar insolation. Recent model consensus and historical August baselines around 30–31°C reinforce trader preference for 31°C as the leading outcome, with 32°C close behind if clearing occurs earlier. Elevated humidity and precipitation probabilities from current guidance introduce modest uncertainty around exact highs, consistent with the tight spread between the top three implied probabilities. Updated JMA briefings tomorrow morning will likely provide the final observational inputs for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 22?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 22?
31°C 40%
32°C 28%
30°C 20%
33°C 11%
BARU
$17,954 Vol.
BARU
$17,954 Vol.
Aug 22, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
20%
31°C
40%
32°C
28%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 40%
32°C 28%
30°C 20%
33°C 11%
BARU
$17,954 Vol.
BARU
$17,954 Vol.
Aug 22, 2026
26°C or below
$1,364 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$892 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,257 Vol.
2%
29°C
$1,325 Vol.
3%
30°C
$2,903 Vol.
20%
31°C
$1,348 Vol.
40%
32°C
$2,489 Vol.
28%
33°C
$1,913 Vol.
11%
34°C
$1,629 Vol.
2%
35°C
$656 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$2,179 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 22 point to a maximum near 32°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible later in the day, a setup that typically caps daytime peaks through reduced solar insolation. Recent model consensus and historical August baselines around 30–31°C reinforce trader preference for 31°C as the leading outcome, with 32°C close behind if clearing occurs earlier. Elevated humidity and precipitation probabilities from current guidance introduce modest uncertainty around exact highs, consistent with the tight spread between the top three implied probabilities. Updated JMA briefings tomorrow morning will likely provide the final observational inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$17,954Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 22 point to a maximum near 32°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible later in the day, a setup that typically caps daytime peaks through reduced solar insolation. Recent model consensus and historical August baselines around 30–31°C reinforce trader preference for 31°C as the leading outcome, with 32°C close behind if clearing occurs earlier. Elevated humidity and precipitation probabilities from current guidance introduce modest uncertainty around exact highs, consistent with the tight spread between the top three implied probabilities. Updated JMA briefings tomorrow morning will likely provide the final observational inputs for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,954Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official JMA forecasts for Tokyo on August 22 point to a maximum near 32°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers possible later in the day, a setup that typically caps daytime peaks through reduced solar insolation. Recent model consensus and historical August baselines around 30–31°C reinforce trader preference for 31°C as the leading outcome, with 32°C close behind if clearing occurs earlier. Elevated humidity and precipitation probabilities from current guidance introduce modest uncertainty around exact highs, consistent with the tight spread between the top three implied probabilities. Updated JMA briefings tomorrow morning will likely provide the final observational inputs for resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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