Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and KNMI models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and light winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market's strong 51% implied probability for 20°C as the leading outcome, following a post-heatwave cooldown that dropped readings from earlier August peaks above 30°C. The 26% chance assigned to 19°C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential for slightly stronger onshore breezes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or higher capture the limited upside risk if clearer skies develop. Official guidance from the Dutch meteorological service shows stable model consensus through the weekend, with minimal expected revisions before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 23?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 23?
20°C 51%
19°C 36%
21°C 20%
18°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
12%
19°C
26%
20°C
51%
21°C
20%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 51%
19°C 36%
21°C 20%
18°C 18%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
1%
17°C
$50 Vol.
7%
18°C
$30 Vol.
12%
19°C
$39 Vol.
26%
20°C
$71 Vol.
51%
21°C
$0 Vol.
20%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$8 Vol.
2%
24°C
$20 Vol.
1%
25°C or higher
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and KNMI models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and light winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market's strong 51% implied probability for 20°C as the leading outcome, following a post-heatwave cooldown that dropped readings from earlier August peaks above 30°C. The 26% chance assigned to 19°C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential for slightly stronger onshore breezes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or higher capture the limited upside risk if clearer skies develop. Official guidance from the Dutch meteorological service shows stable model consensus through the weekend, with minimal expected revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$238Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and KNMI models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and light winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market's strong 51% implied probability for 20°C as the leading outcome, following a post-heatwave cooldown that dropped readings from earlier August peaks above 30°C. The 26% chance assigned to 19°C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential for slightly stronger onshore breezes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or higher capture the limited upside risk if clearer skies develop. Official guidance from the Dutch meteorological service shows stable model consensus through the weekend, with minimal expected revisions before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$238Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and KNMI models indicate a maximum temperature near 20°C in Amsterdam on August 23 under northwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and light winds that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the market's strong 51% implied probability for 20°C as the leading outcome, following a post-heatwave cooldown that dropped readings from earlier August peaks above 30°C. The 26% chance assigned to 19°C reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential for slightly stronger onshore breezes, while lower probabilities for 21°C or higher capture the limited upside risk if clearer skies develop. Official guidance from the Dutch meteorological service shows stable model consensus through the weekend, with minimal expected revisions before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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