Recent short-range forecast models for Guangzhou point to peak temperatures of 33–36°C on August 23, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and variable cloud cover from scattered showers. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 34–35°C because these values align with climatological August averages near 32–33°C while incorporating recent model runs that show modest daytime warming under partly cloudy skies. Key differentiators include the precise timing and intensity of convective rainfall, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus clearer intervals that allow greater surface heating and urban heat-island amplification in the densely built city. Updated numerical weather predictions from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these narrow probability bands ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 23?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 23?
35°C 33%
34°C 30%
36°C 17%
33°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
12%
34°C
30%
35°C
33%
36°C
17%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 33%
34°C 30%
36°C 17%
33°C 12%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
29°C or below
$667 Vol.
1%
30°C
$400 Vol.
1%
31°C
$181 Vol.
2%
32°C
$198 Vol.
5%
33°C
$364 Vol.
12%
34°C
$438 Vol.
30%
35°C
$374 Vol.
33%
36°C
$528 Vol.
17%
37°C
$903 Vol.
4%
38°C
$113 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$180 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models for Guangzhou point to peak temperatures of 33–36°C on August 23, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and variable cloud cover from scattered showers. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 34–35°C because these values align with climatological August averages near 32–33°C while incorporating recent model runs that show modest daytime warming under partly cloudy skies. Key differentiators include the precise timing and intensity of convective rainfall, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus clearer intervals that allow greater surface heating and urban heat-island amplification in the densely built city. Updated numerical weather predictions from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these narrow probability bands ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$4,344Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models for Guangzhou point to peak temperatures of 33–36°C on August 23, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and variable cloud cover from scattered showers. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 34–35°C because these values align with climatological August averages near 32–33°C while incorporating recent model runs that show modest daytime warming under partly cloudy skies. Key differentiators include the precise timing and intensity of convective rainfall, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus clearer intervals that allow greater surface heating and urban heat-island amplification in the densely built city. Updated numerical weather predictions from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these narrow probability bands ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,344Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models for Guangzhou point to peak temperatures of 33–36°C on August 23, driven by typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions with high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and variable cloud cover from scattered showers. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 34–35°C because these values align with climatological August averages near 32–33°C while incorporating recent model runs that show modest daytime warming under partly cloudy skies. Key differentiators include the precise timing and intensity of convective rainfall, which can suppress maxima by 1–2°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, versus clearer intervals that allow greater surface heating and urban heat-island amplification in the densely built city. Updated numerical weather predictions from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will likely refine these narrow probability bands ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan