The National Weather Service forecast and consensus from major models like GFS and ECMWF position a high of 96–97°F as the most likely outcome for Denver on August 21, supporting the leading 51% market-implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow have promoted gradual warming, with recent ensemble runs showing minimal spread around this range amid typical late-summer variability. Traders are monitoring the next model update cycle and any afternoon convective development that could cap temperatures slightly lower, while noting historical August extremes near 100°F as a low-probability tail risk.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Denver on August 21?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 21?
96-97°F 51%
98-99°F 31%
94-95°F 12%
92-93°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
8%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
51%
98-99°F
31%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
1%
106°F or higher
6%
96-97°F 51%
98-99°F 31%
94-95°F 12%
92-93°F 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
87°F or below
$13 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$13 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$5 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$13 Vol.
8%
94-95°F
$57 Vol.
12%
96-97°F
$78 Vol.
51%
98-99°F
$31 Vol.
31%
100-101°F
$13 Vol.
4%
102-103°F
$10 Vol.
6%
104-105°F
$13 Vol.
1%
106°F or higher
$5 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The National Weather Service forecast and consensus from major models like GFS and ECMWF position a high of 96–97°F as the most likely outcome for Denver on August 21, supporting the leading 51% market-implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow have promoted gradual warming, with recent ensemble runs showing minimal spread around this range amid typical late-summer variability. Traders are monitoring the next model update cycle and any afternoon convective development that could cap temperatures slightly lower, while noting historical August extremes near 100°F as a low-probability tail risk.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$253Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The National Weather Service forecast and consensus from major models like GFS and ECMWF position a high of 96–97°F as the most likely outcome for Denver on August 21, supporting the leading 51% market-implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow have promoted gradual warming, with recent ensemble runs showing minimal spread around this range amid typical late-summer variability. Traders are monitoring the next model update cycle and any afternoon convective development that could cap temperatures slightly lower, while noting historical August extremes near 100°F as a low-probability tail risk.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$253Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service forecast and consensus from major models like GFS and ECMWF position a high of 96–97°F as the most likely outcome for Denver on August 21, supporting the leading 51% market-implied probability. Persistent high-pressure ridging and light southerly flow have promoted gradual warming, with recent ensemble runs showing minimal spread around this range amid typical late-summer variability. Traders are monitoring the next model update cycle and any afternoon convective development that could cap temperatures slightly lower, while noting historical August extremes near 100°F as a low-probability tail risk.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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