Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project Chicago highs on August 19 near or slightly below the 82°F climatological normal, with most solutions clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s. This keeps the 78–81°F bins as market leaders because of expected moderate southerly flow, increasing boundary-layer moisture, and variable cloud cover that should limit peak insolation. Recent observations show temperatures running a few degrees below average amid persistent troughing to the north, reducing confidence in stronger warming scenarios above 83°F. Forecasters will monitor updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any overnight convection trends that could further cap daytime maxima.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chicago on August 19?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 19?
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 26%
82-83°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
9%
84-85°F
6%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 26%
82-83°F 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
67°F or below
$10 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$5 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$41 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$118 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$114 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$109 Vol.
34%
80-81°F
$28 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$61 Vol.
9%
84-85°F
$37 Vol.
6%
86°F or higher
$85 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project Chicago highs on August 19 near or slightly below the 82°F climatological normal, with most solutions clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s. This keeps the 78–81°F bins as market leaders because of expected moderate southerly flow, increasing boundary-layer moisture, and variable cloud cover that should limit peak insolation. Recent observations show temperatures running a few degrees below average amid persistent troughing to the north, reducing confidence in stronger warming scenarios above 83°F. Forecasters will monitor updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any overnight convection trends that could further cap daytime maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$608Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project Chicago highs on August 19 near or slightly below the 82°F climatological normal, with most solutions clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s. This keeps the 78–81°F bins as market leaders because of expected moderate southerly flow, increasing boundary-layer moisture, and variable cloud cover that should limit peak insolation. Recent observations show temperatures running a few degrees below average amid persistent troughing to the north, reducing confidence in stronger warming scenarios above 83°F. Forecasters will monitor updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any overnight convection trends that could further cap daytime maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$608Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs project Chicago highs on August 19 near or slightly below the 82°F climatological normal, with most solutions clustered in the upper 70s to low 80s. This keeps the 78–81°F bins as market leaders because of expected moderate southerly flow, increasing boundary-layer moisture, and variable cloud cover that should limit peak insolation. Recent observations show temperatures running a few degrees below average amid persistent troughing to the north, reducing confidence in stronger warming scenarios above 83°F. Forecasters will monitor updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus any overnight convection trends that could further cap daytime maxima.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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