**Trader sentiment for Jeddah’s August 20 maximum temperature reflects typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions, with closely matched probabilities for 37–40 °C outcomes indicating genuine forecast uncertainty rather than strong consensus.** Recent model guidance and historical August climatology place daily highs near 38–40 °C, driven by intense solar insolation under mostly clear skies, combined with warm Red Sea surface waters that sustain high boundary-layer moisture and limit nocturnal cooling. Light northerly or northwesterly winds often suppress strong sea-breeze cooling along the Jeddah coast, while any slight increase in cloud cover or wind speed can cap the peak by 1–2 °C. Conversely, clearer, calmer conditions favor the higher end of the range. With only two days until resolution, traders are closely watching the next National Center for Meteorology (NCM) updates and global model runs (ECMWF, GFS) for shifts in predicted wind, humidity, and cloud fields that could tip the outcome between the clustered 38 °C and 39 °C bins versus a possible 40 °C+ spike. Historical variability in August maxima (typically 37–41 °C) underscores why no single outcome currently dominates implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 20?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 20?
38°C 34%
39°C 27%
40°C or higher 23%
37°C 20%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
5%
35°C
6%
36°C
8%
37°C
20%
38°C
34%
39°C
27%
40°C or higher
23%
38°C 34%
39°C 27%
40°C or higher 23%
37°C 20%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
30°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$100 Vol.
5%
35°C
$62 Vol.
6%
36°C
$44 Vol.
8%
37°C
$0 Vol.
20%
38°C
$0 Vol.
34%
39°C
$0 Vol.
27%
40°C or higher
$0 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Jeddah’s August 20 maximum temperature reflects typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions, with closely matched probabilities for 37–40 °C outcomes indicating genuine forecast uncertainty rather than strong consensus.**
Recent model guidance and historical August climatology place daily highs near 38–40 °C, driven by intense solar insolation under mostly clear skies, combined with warm Red Sea surface waters that sustain high boundary-layer moisture and limit nocturnal cooling. Light northerly or northwesterly winds often suppress strong sea-breeze cooling along the Jeddah coast, while any slight increase in cloud cover or wind speed can cap the peak by 1–2 °C. Conversely, clearer, calmer conditions favor the higher end of the range.
With only two days until resolution, traders are closely watching the next National Center for Meteorology (NCM) updates and global model runs (ECMWF, GFS) for shifts in predicted wind, humidity, and cloud fields that could tip the outcome between the clustered 38 °C and 39 °C bins versus a possible 40 °C+ spike. Historical variability in August maxima (typically 37–41 °C) underscores why no single outcome currently dominates implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$227Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Jeddah’s August 20 maximum temperature reflects typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions, with closely matched probabilities for 37–40 °C outcomes indicating genuine forecast uncertainty rather than strong consensus.**
Recent model guidance and historical August climatology place daily highs near 38–40 °C, driven by intense solar insolation under mostly clear skies, combined with warm Red Sea surface waters that sustain high boundary-layer moisture and limit nocturnal cooling. Light northerly or northwesterly winds often suppress strong sea-breeze cooling along the Jeddah coast, while any slight increase in cloud cover or wind speed can cap the peak by 1–2 °C. Conversely, clearer, calmer conditions favor the higher end of the range.
With only two days until resolution, traders are closely watching the next National Center for Meteorology (NCM) updates and global model runs (ECMWF, GFS) for shifts in predicted wind, humidity, and cloud fields that could tip the outcome between the clustered 38 °C and 39 °C bins versus a possible 40 °C+ spike. Historical variability in August maxima (typically 37–41 °C) underscores why no single outcome currently dominates implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$227Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Jeddah’s August 20 maximum temperature reflects typical late-summer Red Sea coastal conditions, with closely matched probabilities for 37–40 °C outcomes indicating genuine forecast uncertainty rather than strong consensus.** Recent model guidance and historical August climatology place daily highs near 38–40 °C, driven by intense solar insolation under mostly clear skies, combined with warm Red Sea surface waters that sustain high boundary-layer moisture and limit nocturnal cooling. Light northerly or northwesterly winds often suppress strong sea-breeze cooling along the Jeddah coast, while any slight increase in cloud cover or wind speed can cap the peak by 1–2 °C. Conversely, clearer, calmer conditions favor the higher end of the range. With only two days until resolution, traders are closely watching the next National Center for Meteorology (NCM) updates and global model runs (ECMWF, GFS) for shifts in predicted wind, humidity, and cloud fields that could tip the outcome between the clustered 38 °C and 39 °C bins versus a possible 40 °C+ spike. Historical variability in August maxima (typically 37–41 °C) underscores why no single outcome currently dominates implied probabilities.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan