Recent forecasts from MetService, the UK Met Office, timeanddate, and BBC Weather converge on daytime highs of 10–12°C for Wellington on August 18, with most runs centering on 11°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light showers, and moderate southerly winds. These conditions align with NIWA’s seasonal outlook, which assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region during the June–August period. Historical August maxima average near 12°C, but a preceding cold air mass and limited solar heating have tempered expectations slightly below the long-term mean. With the market resolution window only two days away and model consensus stable, traders have concentrated probability on the 11°C (54.5%) and 12°C (34.5%) outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range winter temperature forecasts in this maritime climate.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 18?
11°C 54%
12°C 36%
10°C 8%
13°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
8%
11°C
54%
12°C
36%
13°C
6%
14°C
2%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
11°C 54%
12°C 36%
10°C 8%
13°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 18, 2026
6°C or below
$186 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$15 Vol.
1%
9°C
$10 Vol.
2%
10°C
$83 Vol.
8%
11°C
$1,172 Vol.
54%
12°C
$1,699 Vol.
36%
13°C
$111 Vol.
6%
14°C
$12 Vol.
2%
15°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService, the UK Met Office, timeanddate, and BBC Weather converge on daytime highs of 10–12°C for Wellington on August 18, with most runs centering on 11°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light showers, and moderate southerly winds. These conditions align with NIWA’s seasonal outlook, which assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region during the June–August period. Historical August maxima average near 12°C, but a preceding cold air mass and limited solar heating have tempered expectations slightly below the long-term mean. With the market resolution window only two days away and model consensus stable, traders have concentrated probability on the 11°C (54.5%) and 12°C (34.5%) outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range winter temperature forecasts in this maritime climate.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,694Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService, the UK Met Office, timeanddate, and BBC Weather converge on daytime highs of 10–12°C for Wellington on August 18, with most runs centering on 11°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light showers, and moderate southerly winds. These conditions align with NIWA’s seasonal outlook, which assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region during the June–August period. Historical August maxima average near 12°C, but a preceding cold air mass and limited solar heating have tempered expectations slightly below the long-term mean. With the market resolution window only two days away and model consensus stable, traders have concentrated probability on the 11°C (54.5%) and 12°C (34.5%) outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range winter temperature forecasts in this maritime climate.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,694Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService, the UK Met Office, timeanddate, and BBC Weather converge on daytime highs of 10–12°C for Wellington on August 18, with most runs centering on 11°C amid mostly cloudy skies, light showers, and moderate southerly winds. These conditions align with NIWA’s seasonal outlook, which assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region during the June–August period. Historical August maxima average near 12°C, but a preceding cold air mass and limited solar heating have tempered expectations slightly below the long-term mean. With the market resolution window only two days away and model consensus stable, traders have concentrated probability on the 11°C (54.5%) and 12°C (34.5%) outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range winter temperature forecasts in this maritime climate.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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