Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 77°F for Seattle on August 19, aligning with the market’s closely matched 76–79°F bands that together exceed 60% implied probability. Marine air and a persistent onshore flow are moderating temperatures despite seasonal solar heating, while any timing shifts in afternoon cloud cover or wind could push readings a degree or two higher or lower. Historical August normals hover around 77°F, providing a stable baseline that traders appear to be weighting heavily. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on August 19?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 19?
78-79°F 33%
76-77°F 31%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 18%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
18%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 33%
76-77°F 31%
80-81°F 19%
74-75°F 18%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
69°F or below
$5 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$32 Vol.
5%
72-73°F
$10 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$9 Vol.
18%
76-77°F
$52 Vol.
32%
78-79°F
$18 Vol.
30%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
19%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
5%
84-85°F
$32 Vol.
5%
86-87°F
$170 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 77°F for Seattle on August 19, aligning with the market’s closely matched 76–79°F bands that together exceed 60% implied probability. Marine air and a persistent onshore flow are moderating temperatures despite seasonal solar heating, while any timing shifts in afternoon cloud cover or wind could push readings a degree or two higher or lower. Historical August normals hover around 77°F, providing a stable baseline that traders appear to be weighting heavily. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$338Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 77°F for Seattle on August 19, aligning with the market’s closely matched 76–79°F bands that together exceed 60% implied probability. Marine air and a persistent onshore flow are moderating temperatures despite seasonal solar heating, while any timing shifts in afternoon cloud cover or wind could push readings a degree or two higher or lower. Historical August normals hover around 77°F, providing a stable baseline that traders appear to be weighting heavily. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$338Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a high near 77°F for Seattle on August 19, aligning with the market’s closely matched 76–79°F bands that together exceed 60% implied probability. Marine air and a persistent onshore flow are moderating temperatures despite seasonal solar heating, while any timing shifts in afternoon cloud cover or wind could push readings a degree or two higher or lower. Historical August normals hover around 77°F, providing a stable baseline that traders appear to be weighting heavily. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the exact maximum ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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