Latest forecast models from the UK Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show London's maximum temperature on August 20 most likely falling in the 22–24°C range, producing the tight spread across leading market outcomes. This reflects typical late-summer variability driven by the position of the North Atlantic jet stream, modest high-pressure ridging, and mixed cloud cover that limits daytime heating while allowing moderate Atlantic airflow. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to sensitivity to small changes in wind direction and timing of any weak frontal passages within the 48-hour window. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, yet the close probabilities highlight genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance that will narrow with updated model runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on August 20?
Highest temperature in London on August 20?
23°C 30%
22°C 23%
24°C 22%
21°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
19°C or below
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
23%
23°C
30%
24°C
22%
25°C
6%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 30%
22°C 23%
24°C 22%
21°C 16%
BARU
BARU
Aug 20, 2026
19°C or below
$9 Vol.
2%
20°C
$13 Vol.
4%
21°C
$13 Vol.
16%
22°C
$136 Vol.
23%
23°C
$115 Vol.
30%
24°C
$188 Vol.
22%
25°C
$67 Vol.
6%
26°C
$55 Vol.
2%
27°C
$312 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$386 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$386 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from the UK Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show London's maximum temperature on August 20 most likely falling in the 22–24°C range, producing the tight spread across leading market outcomes. This reflects typical late-summer variability driven by the position of the North Atlantic jet stream, modest high-pressure ridging, and mixed cloud cover that limits daytime heating while allowing moderate Atlantic airflow. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to sensitivity to small changes in wind direction and timing of any weak frontal passages within the 48-hour window. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, yet the close probabilities highlight genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance that will narrow with updated model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$577Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast models from the UK Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show London's maximum temperature on August 20 most likely falling in the 22–24°C range, producing the tight spread across leading market outcomes. This reflects typical late-summer variability driven by the position of the North Atlantic jet stream, modest high-pressure ridging, and mixed cloud cover that limits daytime heating while allowing moderate Atlantic airflow. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to sensitivity to small changes in wind direction and timing of any weak frontal passages within the 48-hour window. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, yet the close probabilities highlight genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance that will narrow with updated model runs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$577Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 20, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from the UK Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show London's maximum temperature on August 20 most likely falling in the 22–24°C range, producing the tight spread across leading market outcomes. This reflects typical late-summer variability driven by the position of the North Atlantic jet stream, modest high-pressure ridging, and mixed cloud cover that limits daytime heating while allowing moderate Atlantic airflow. Ensemble spreads remain wide due to sensitivity to small changes in wind direction and timing of any weak frontal passages within the 48-hour window. Historical August averages near 22°C provide context, yet the close probabilities highlight genuine uncertainty in short-range guidance that will narrow with updated model runs.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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