Mexico City's high elevation of approximately 2,240 meters moderates daytime highs during the August rainy season, when frequent afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover typically cap temperatures near the 24°C historical average. Current forecasts indicate modest warming potential from clearer morning skies or delayed convection, supporting the market's tight clustering around 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes. Differentiating these hinges on precise factors such as solar insolation under variable humidity, the exact timing and intensity of convective rainfall, and any short-term shifts in steering patterns or moisture influx from the Pacific or Gulf, with official model updates from agencies like Mexico's SMN expected to refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 21?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on August 21?
26°C 44%
25°C 33%
27°C 16%
24°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
7%
25°C
33%
26°C
44%
27°C
16%
28°C
5%
29°C
6%
30°C or higher
5%
26°C 44%
25°C 33%
27°C 16%
24°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
20°C or below
$97 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$80 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$30 Vol.
1%
23°C
$21 Vol.
4%
24°C
$0 Vol.
7%
25°C
$152 Vol.
33%
26°C
$40 Vol.
44%
27°C
$12 Vol.
16%
28°C
$17 Vol.
5%
29°C
$37 Vol.
6%
30°C or higher
$37 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation of approximately 2,240 meters moderates daytime highs during the August rainy season, when frequent afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover typically cap temperatures near the 24°C historical average. Current forecasts indicate modest warming potential from clearer morning skies or delayed convection, supporting the market's tight clustering around 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes. Differentiating these hinges on precise factors such as solar insolation under variable humidity, the exact timing and intensity of convective rainfall, and any short-term shifts in steering patterns or moisture influx from the Pacific or Gulf, with official model updates from agencies like Mexico's SMN expected to refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$523Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation of approximately 2,240 meters moderates daytime highs during the August rainy season, when frequent afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover typically cap temperatures near the 24°C historical average. Current forecasts indicate modest warming potential from clearer morning skies or delayed convection, supporting the market's tight clustering around 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes. Differentiating these hinges on precise factors such as solar insolation under variable humidity, the exact timing and intensity of convective rainfall, and any short-term shifts in steering patterns or moisture influx from the Pacific or Gulf, with official model updates from agencies like Mexico's SMN expected to refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$523Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high elevation of approximately 2,240 meters moderates daytime highs during the August rainy season, when frequent afternoon thunderstorms and cloud cover typically cap temperatures near the 24°C historical average. Current forecasts indicate modest warming potential from clearer morning skies or delayed convection, supporting the market's tight clustering around 25–26°C as the most probable outcomes. Differentiating these hinges on precise factors such as solar insolation under variable humidity, the exact timing and intensity of convective rainfall, and any short-term shifts in steering patterns or moisture influx from the Pacific or Gulf, with official model updates from agencies like Mexico's SMN expected to refine probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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