Preliminary forecasts place Moscow's August 22 daytime high near 22–24°C, consistent with seasonal averages of 20–22°C and recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these outcomes because ensemble runs show modest spread driven by variable cloud cover, weak frontal boundaries, and limited warm-air advection across the central European Russia plain. Short-range updates over the next 48 hours will refine exact peak values, with any increase in insolation or reduced mixing potentially pushing readings toward the upper end of the range. Historical late-August patterns rarely exceed 25°C without strong high-pressure persistence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 22?
24°C 33%
23°C 31%
22°C 28%
26°C 19%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
8%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
28%
23°C
31%
24°C
33%
25°C
7%
26°C
19%
27°C or higher
11%
24°C 33%
23°C 31%
22°C 28%
26°C 19%
17°C or below
4%
18°C
8%
19°C
10%
20°C
2%
21°C
7%
22°C
28%
23°C
31%
24°C
33%
25°C
7%
26°C
19%
27°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary forecasts place Moscow's August 22 daytime high near 22–24°C, consistent with seasonal averages of 20–22°C and recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these outcomes because ensemble runs show modest spread driven by variable cloud cover, weak frontal boundaries, and limited warm-air advection across the central European Russia plain. Short-range updates over the next 48 hours will refine exact peak values, with any increase in insolation or reduced mixing potentially pushing readings toward the upper end of the range. Historical late-August patterns rarely exceed 25°C without strong high-pressure persistence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui

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