Recent numerical weather model guidance for Moscow indicates a high temperature near 22–23°C on August 21, with limited day-to-day variability in the short-range forecasts supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Persistent mid-level cloud cover and modest northerly flow have kept daytime maxima close to seasonal norms after earlier August warmth, while ensemble spreads remain narrow and centered around 21–24°C. Traders appear to be pricing in the high probability of resolution within this narrow band, given stable steering patterns and the absence of strong warm or cold advection signals in the latest runs. Updated model outputs from agencies such as Roshydromet or ECMWF over the next 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities if a ridge or trough shifts timing or intensity.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 21?
23°C 49%
22°C 33%
21°C 13%
24°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
13%
22°C
33%
23°C
49%
24°C
11%
25°C
5%
26°C or higher
7%
23°C 49%
22°C 33%
21°C 13%
24°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
16°C or below
$593 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$127 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$20 Vol.
2%
20°C
$20 Vol.
9%
21°C
$3 Vol.
13%
22°C
$66 Vol.
33%
23°C
$261 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
11%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C or higher
$32 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model guidance for Moscow indicates a high temperature near 22–23°C on August 21, with limited day-to-day variability in the short-range forecasts supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Persistent mid-level cloud cover and modest northerly flow have kept daytime maxima close to seasonal norms after earlier August warmth, while ensemble spreads remain narrow and centered around 21–24°C. Traders appear to be pricing in the high probability of resolution within this narrow band, given stable steering patterns and the absence of strong warm or cold advection signals in the latest runs. Updated model outputs from agencies such as Roshydromet or ECMWF over the next 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities if a ridge or trough shifts timing or intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$1,516Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model guidance for Moscow indicates a high temperature near 22–23°C on August 21, with limited day-to-day variability in the short-range forecasts supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Persistent mid-level cloud cover and modest northerly flow have kept daytime maxima close to seasonal norms after earlier August warmth, while ensemble spreads remain narrow and centered around 21–24°C. Traders appear to be pricing in the high probability of resolution within this narrow band, given stable steering patterns and the absence of strong warm or cold advection signals in the latest runs. Updated model outputs from agencies such as Roshydromet or ECMWF over the next 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities if a ridge or trough shifts timing or intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,516Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model guidance for Moscow indicates a high temperature near 22–23°C on August 21, with limited day-to-day variability in the short-range forecasts supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these outcomes. Persistent mid-level cloud cover and modest northerly flow have kept daytime maxima close to seasonal norms after earlier August warmth, while ensemble spreads remain narrow and centered around 21–24°C. Traders appear to be pricing in the high probability of resolution within this narrow band, given stable steering patterns and the absence of strong warm or cold advection signals in the latest runs. Updated model outputs from agencies such as Roshydromet or ECMWF over the next 48 hours could refine these implied probabilities if a ridge or trough shifts timing or intensity.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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