**KMA short-range guidance for August 19, 2026, calls for mostly cloudy to overcast skies across the Seoul-Incheon area with daytime maxima of 32–33 °C and only modest (10–30 %) precipitation chances.** Recent model consensus and historical analogs place the most probable official high near 30–31 °C once reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover and elevated boundary-layer humidity are factored in. Following the early-August heatwave that produced multiple 39 °C+ readings, mid-month high-pressure building has brought lighter winds and increased low-level moisture, limiting afternoon mixing and surface heating. Small differences in cloud thickness, the exact timing of any weak showers, or shifts in the sea-breeze front can therefore swing the verified maximum between 29 °C and 31 °C—precisely the narrow band where trader probabilities cluster. Longer-range ensembles still show modest upside risk to 32 °C or higher if skies clear earlier than currently projected, but the weight of near-term guidance keeps those outcomes at low single-digit implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 19?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 19?
30°C 40%
29°C 31%
31°C 17%
28°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
11%
29°C
31%
30°C
40%
31°C
17%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 40%
29°C 31%
31°C 17%
28°C 11%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
23°C or below
$291 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$866 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$419 Vol.
1%
26°C
$413 Vol.
2%
27°C
$409 Vol.
3%
28°C
$500 Vol.
11%
29°C
$430 Vol.
31%
30°C
$357 Vol.
40%
31°C
$321 Vol.
17%
32°C
$250 Vol.
4%
33°C or higher
$532 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**KMA short-range guidance for August 19, 2026, calls for mostly cloudy to overcast skies across the Seoul-Incheon area with daytime maxima of 32–33 °C and only modest (10–30 %) precipitation chances.** Recent model consensus and historical analogs place the most probable official high near 30–31 °C once reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover and elevated boundary-layer humidity are factored in.
Following the early-August heatwave that produced multiple 39 °C+ readings, mid-month high-pressure building has brought lighter winds and increased low-level moisture, limiting afternoon mixing and surface heating. Small differences in cloud thickness, the exact timing of any weak showers, or shifts in the sea-breeze front can therefore swing the verified maximum between 29 °C and 31 °C—precisely the narrow band where trader probabilities cluster. Longer-range ensembles still show modest upside risk to 32 °C or higher if skies clear earlier than currently projected, but the weight of near-term guidance keeps those outcomes at low single-digit implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$4,790Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**KMA short-range guidance for August 19, 2026, calls for mostly cloudy to overcast skies across the Seoul-Incheon area with daytime maxima of 32–33 °C and only modest (10–30 %) precipitation chances.** Recent model consensus and historical analogs place the most probable official high near 30–31 °C once reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover and elevated boundary-layer humidity are factored in.
Following the early-August heatwave that produced multiple 39 °C+ readings, mid-month high-pressure building has brought lighter winds and increased low-level moisture, limiting afternoon mixing and surface heating. Small differences in cloud thickness, the exact timing of any weak showers, or shifts in the sea-breeze front can therefore swing the verified maximum between 29 °C and 31 °C—precisely the narrow band where trader probabilities cluster. Longer-range ensembles still show modest upside risk to 32 °C or higher if skies clear earlier than currently projected, but the weight of near-term guidance keeps those outcomes at low single-digit implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,790Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**KMA short-range guidance for August 19, 2026, calls for mostly cloudy to overcast skies across the Seoul-Incheon area with daytime maxima of 32–33 °C and only modest (10–30 %) precipitation chances.** Recent model consensus and historical analogs place the most probable official high near 30–31 °C once reduced solar insolation from persistent cloud cover and elevated boundary-layer humidity are factored in. Following the early-August heatwave that produced multiple 39 °C+ readings, mid-month high-pressure building has brought lighter winds and increased low-level moisture, limiting afternoon mixing and surface heating. Small differences in cloud thickness, the exact timing of any weak showers, or shifts in the sea-breeze front can therefore swing the verified maximum between 29 °C and 31 °C—precisely the narrow band where trader probabilities cluster. Longer-range ensembles still show modest upside risk to 32 °C or higher if skies clear earlier than currently projected, but the weight of near-term guidance keeps those outcomes at low single-digit implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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