Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai highs near 30–32°C on August 19, 2026, consistent with late-summer monsoon patterns featuring high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit peak solar heating. These conditions, combined with typical seasonal steering patterns and regional sea-surface temperatures, favor the observed market concentration on 30°C and 31°C outcomes. Recent model runs through mid-August show no strong heatwave signal or clear-sky persistence that would push readings above 33°C, while historical August variability and potential convective development introduce modest uncertainty around exact daily maxima. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 19?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 19?
31°C 44%
30°C 29%
32°C 16%
29°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
29%
31°C
44%
32°C
16%
33°C
6%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
3%
31°C 44%
30°C 29%
32°C 16%
29°C 8%
BARU
BARU
Aug 19, 2026
25°C or below
$186 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$122 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$29 Vol.
1%
28°C
$130 Vol.
2%
29°C
$81 Vol.
8%
30°C
$35 Vol.
29%
31°C
$301 Vol.
44%
32°C
$78 Vol.
16%
33°C
$6 Vol.
6%
34°C
$13 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai highs near 30–32°C on August 19, 2026, consistent with late-summer monsoon patterns featuring high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit peak solar heating. These conditions, combined with typical seasonal steering patterns and regional sea-surface temperatures, favor the observed market concentration on 30°C and 31°C outcomes. Recent model runs through mid-August show no strong heatwave signal or clear-sky persistence that would push readings above 33°C, while historical August variability and potential convective development introduce modest uncertainty around exact daily maxima. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$985Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai highs near 30–32°C on August 19, 2026, consistent with late-summer monsoon patterns featuring high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit peak solar heating. These conditions, combined with typical seasonal steering patterns and regional sea-surface temperatures, favor the observed market concentration on 30°C and 31°C outcomes. Recent model runs through mid-August show no strong heatwave signal or clear-sky persistence that would push readings above 33°C, while historical August variability and potential convective development introduce modest uncertainty around exact daily maxima. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$985Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 19, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate project Shanghai highs near 30–32°C on August 19, 2026, consistent with late-summer monsoon patterns featuring high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thundershowers that limit peak solar heating. These conditions, combined with typical seasonal steering patterns and regional sea-surface temperatures, favor the observed market concentration on 30°C and 31°C outcomes. Recent model runs through mid-August show no strong heatwave signal or clear-sky persistence that would push readings above 33°C, while historical August variability and potential convective development introduce modest uncertainty around exact daily maxima. Updated numerical weather prediction outputs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these probabilities further.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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