Current forecast models from agencies including the ECMWF and UK Met Office converge on a maximum temperature of 19–21°C in Amsterdam on August 21, driven by moderate northwesterly flow, Atlantic moisture, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers. These conditions align closely with late-summer climatology, where average highs near 21°C reflect the stabilizing influence of the North Sea. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader consensus around the 20°C outcome while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C that could shift probabilities if steering patterns or cloud cover evolve overnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 21?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 21?
20°C 50%
19°C 26%
21°C 19%
18°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
26%
20°C
50%
21°C
19%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
20°C 50%
19°C 26%
21°C 19%
18°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
15°C or below
$187 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$307 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$145 Vol.
2%
18°C
$180 Vol.
4%
19°C
$904 Vol.
26%
20°C
$3,319 Vol.
50%
21°C
$1,393 Vol.
19%
22°C
$551 Vol.
2%
23°C
$322 Vol.
1%
24°C
$187 Vol.
<1%
25°C or higher
$208 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the ECMWF and UK Met Office converge on a maximum temperature of 19–21°C in Amsterdam on August 21, driven by moderate northwesterly flow, Atlantic moisture, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers. These conditions align closely with late-summer climatology, where average highs near 21°C reflect the stabilizing influence of the North Sea. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader consensus around the 20°C outcome while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C that could shift probabilities if steering patterns or cloud cover evolve overnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$7,702Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the ECMWF and UK Met Office converge on a maximum temperature of 19–21°C in Amsterdam on August 21, driven by moderate northwesterly flow, Atlantic moisture, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers. These conditions align closely with late-summer climatology, where average highs near 21°C reflect the stabilizing influence of the North Sea. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader consensus around the 20°C outcome while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C that could shift probabilities if steering patterns or cloud cover evolve overnight.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,702Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the ECMWF and UK Met Office converge on a maximum temperature of 19–21°C in Amsterdam on August 21, driven by moderate northwesterly flow, Atlantic moisture, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers. These conditions align closely with late-summer climatology, where average highs near 21°C reflect the stabilizing influence of the North Sea. Recent model runs show minimal spread, reinforcing trader consensus around the 20°C outcome while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C that could shift probabilities if steering patterns or cloud cover evolve overnight.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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