Recent official forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration indicate daytime highs of 26–33°C for August 21–22 in Taipei, aligning with typical late-August climatology of around 32°C amid humid conditions and frequent afternoon thunderstorms. These patterns create narrow uncertainty between 30–32°C maxima, as timing of cloud cover, rainfall intensity, and urban heat retention can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Ensemble models show limited spread but highlight sensitivity to convective development, with no strong signals for extremes above 33°C or below 30°C. Updated runs from agencies like CWA and NOAA over the next 48 hours, plus real-time observations, will refine resolution criteria based on the official daily maximum reading.