Recent official forecasts from agencies including AKOM and the Met Office, alongside ensemble model guidance, position a daily maximum near 27–28°C as the most likely outcome for Istanbul on August 22, aligning with market-implied probabilities peaking at 46% for 27°C. Late-August climatology shows average highs of 28–30°C under typical northeasterly meltem flow, yet current short-range runs indicate moderation from an approaching heat wave expected to peak earlier in the week at 33–35°C. Key variables include steering patterns, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat island effects that can shift maxima by 2–3°C; updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 22?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 22?
25°C 49%
27°C 47%
29°C 47%
30°C 46%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
49%
26°C
30%
27°C
47%
28°C
32%
29°C
47%
30°C
46%
31°C
18%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
7%
25°C 49%
27°C 47%
29°C 47%
30°C 46%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
23°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
24°C
$5 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$0 Vol.
30%
27°C
$0 Vol.
47%
28°C
$0 Vol.
32%
29°C
$0 Vol.
47%
30°C
$0 Vol.
46%
31°C
$5 Vol.
18%
32°C
$5 Vol.
7%
33°C or higher
$5 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including AKOM and the Met Office, alongside ensemble model guidance, position a daily maximum near 27–28°C as the most likely outcome for Istanbul on August 22, aligning with market-implied probabilities peaking at 46% for 27°C. Late-August climatology shows average highs of 28–30°C under typical northeasterly meltem flow, yet current short-range runs indicate moderation from an approaching heat wave expected to peak earlier in the week at 33–35°C. Key variables include steering patterns, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat island effects that can shift maxima by 2–3°C; updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$25Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including AKOM and the Met Office, alongside ensemble model guidance, position a daily maximum near 27–28°C as the most likely outcome for Istanbul on August 22, aligning with market-implied probabilities peaking at 46% for 27°C. Late-August climatology shows average highs of 28–30°C under typical northeasterly meltem flow, yet current short-range runs indicate moderation from an approaching heat wave expected to peak earlier in the week at 33–35°C. Key variables include steering patterns, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat island effects that can shift maxima by 2–3°C; updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including AKOM and the Met Office, alongside ensemble model guidance, position a daily maximum near 27–28°C as the most likely outcome for Istanbul on August 22, aligning with market-implied probabilities peaking at 46% for 27°C. Late-August climatology shows average highs of 28–30°C under typical northeasterly meltem flow, yet current short-range runs indicate moderation from an approaching heat wave expected to peak earlier in the week at 33–35°C. Key variables include steering patterns, boundary-layer moisture, and urban heat island effects that can shift maxima by 2–3°C; updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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