Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to scattered thundershowers and increasing afternoon cloud cover on August 20, which are expected to limit peak solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 30–31 °C. High humidity and light easterly winds typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further modulate surface temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling during convective bursts. The narrow spread between the leading 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and coverage of precipitation, as well as minor differences among numerical weather prediction runs regarding boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze effects near the coast. Historical mid-August averages hover around 31 °C, but recent patterns with frequent convective activity have produced slightly cooler peaks, keeping trader sentiment tightly balanced ahead of updated short-range guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 20?
30°C 37%
31°C 34%
29°C 14%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
37%
31°C
34%
32°C
12%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 34%
29°C 14%
32°C 12%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
14%
30°C
37%
31°C
34%
32°C
12%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to scattered thundershowers and increasing afternoon cloud cover on August 20, which are expected to limit peak solar heating and cap the daily maximum near 30–31 °C. High humidity and light easterly winds typical of the East Asian summer monsoon further modulate surface temperatures by enhancing evaporative cooling during convective bursts. The narrow spread between the leading 30 °C and 31 °C outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise timing and coverage of precipitation, as well as minor differences among numerical weather prediction runs regarding boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze effects near the coast. Historical mid-August averages hover around 31 °C, but recent patterns with frequent convective activity have produced slightly cooler peaks, keeping trader sentiment tightly balanced ahead of updated short-range guidance.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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