Official temperature observations from the National Weather Service and NOAA stations in the Seattle area, including Sea-Tac Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on August 21, locking in the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed stable high pressure with light winds and minimal marine layer influence, producing conditions consistent with the observed peak rather than any deviation into adjacent ranges. Traders priced in near-certainty because official data releases occur shortly after the calendar day ends, leaving little room for revision under standard verification protocols. Only an unprecedented post-processing correction or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome, scenarios that historical quality-control records indicate occur in fewer than 1% of cases.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Seattle on August 21?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 21?
80-81°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$38,860 Vol.
$38,860 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$38,860 Vol.
$38,860 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
73°F or below
$1,525 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,571 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$5,362 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$6,643 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$7,001 Vol.
100%
82-83°F
$4,438 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$3,751 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$3,318 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$4,187 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$616 Vol.
<1%
92°F or higher
$449 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from the National Weather Service and NOAA stations in the Seattle area, including Sea-Tac Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on August 21, locking in the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed stable high pressure with light winds and minimal marine layer influence, producing conditions consistent with the observed peak rather than any deviation into adjacent ranges. Traders priced in near-certainty because official data releases occur shortly after the calendar day ends, leaving little room for revision under standard verification protocols. Only an unprecedented post-processing correction or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome, scenarios that historical quality-control records indicate occur in fewer than 1% of cases.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$38,860Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official temperature observations from the National Weather Service and NOAA stations in the Seattle area, including Sea-Tac Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on August 21, locking in the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed stable high pressure with light winds and minimal marine layer influence, producing conditions consistent with the observed peak rather than any deviation into adjacent ranges. Traders priced in near-certainty because official data releases occur shortly after the calendar day ends, leaving little room for revision under standard verification protocols. Only an unprecedented post-processing correction or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome, scenarios that historical quality-control records indicate occur in fewer than 1% of cases.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$38,860Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official temperature observations from the National Weather Service and NOAA stations in the Seattle area, including Sea-Tac Airport, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on August 21, locking in the market's 100% implied probability for that bin. Recent model guidance and surface analyses showed stable high pressure with light winds and minimal marine layer influence, producing conditions consistent with the observed peak rather than any deviation into adjacent ranges. Traders priced in near-certainty because official data releases occur shortly after the calendar day ends, leaving little room for revision under standard verification protocols. Only an unprecedented post-processing correction or station-specific anomaly could realistically shift the outcome, scenarios that historical quality-control records indicate occur in fewer than 1% of cases.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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