Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting models indicate a daytime high of 32–34°C for Tokyo on August 24, driven by warm southerly flow, partial clearing after recent showers, and typical late-summer humidity that supports afternoon heating without extreme instability. This consensus positions 32°C as the leading market outcome at 40% implied probability, with 31°C and 33°C close behind, reflecting minor model spread on exact peak timing and cloud effects. August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, and current above-normal warmth aligns with trader weighting toward these central values ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 24?
32°C 38%
33°C 31%
31°C 23%
30°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
9%
31°C
23%
32°C
40%
33°C
24%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 38%
33°C 31%
31°C 23%
30°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
25°C or below
$1,100 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$248 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$8 Vol.
4%
30°C
$7 Vol.
9%
31°C
$0 Vol.
23%
32°C
$28 Vol.
40%
33°C
$17 Vol.
24%
34°C
$0 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$7 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting models indicate a daytime high of 32–34°C for Tokyo on August 24, driven by warm southerly flow, partial clearing after recent showers, and typical late-summer humidity that supports afternoon heating without extreme instability. This consensus positions 32°C as the leading market outcome at 40% implied probability, with 31°C and 33°C close behind, reflecting minor model spread on exact peak timing and cloud effects. August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, and current above-normal warmth aligns with trader weighting toward these central values ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,414Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting models indicate a daytime high of 32–34°C for Tokyo on August 24, driven by warm southerly flow, partial clearing after recent showers, and typical late-summer humidity that supports afternoon heating without extreme instability. This consensus positions 32°C as the leading market outcome at 40% implied probability, with 31°C and 33°C close behind, reflecting minor model spread on exact peak timing and cloud effects. August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, and current above-normal warmth aligns with trader weighting toward these central values ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,414Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and supporting models indicate a daytime high of 32–34°C for Tokyo on August 24, driven by warm southerly flow, partial clearing after recent showers, and typical late-summer humidity that supports afternoon heating without extreme instability. This consensus positions 32°C as the leading market outcome at 40% implied probability, with 31°C and 33°C close behind, reflecting minor model spread on exact peak timing and cloud effects. August climatology shows average highs near 31°C, and current above-normal warmth aligns with trader weighting toward these central values ahead of final observations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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