Recent cooling from maritime air advection and increased cloud cover following mid-August heatwave conditions has positioned 23°C as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability, with 24°C at 34%. Official Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show daytime maxima clustering tightly around 23–24°C for August 22, consistent with seasonal norms near 24°C and steering patterns favoring moderate westerly flow. Limited instability from residual high pressure reduces upside risk for 25°C+, while overnight lows near 17°C support the observed consensus without significant model spread. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Paris on August 22?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 22?
23°C 51%
24°C 34%
22°C 15%
26°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
7%
22°C
15%
23°C
51%
24°C
34%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 51%
24°C 34%
22°C 15%
26°C 7%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
19°C or below
$25 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$25 Vol.
1%
21°C
$25 Vol.
7%
22°C
$25 Vol.
15%
23°C
$82 Vol.
51%
24°C
$42 Vol.
34%
25°C
$25 Vol.
3%
26°C
$5 Vol.
7%
27°C
$5 Vol.
2%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$135 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from maritime air advection and increased cloud cover following mid-August heatwave conditions has positioned 23°C as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability, with 24°C at 34%. Official Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show daytime maxima clustering tightly around 23–24°C for August 22, consistent with seasonal norms near 24°C and steering patterns favoring moderate westerly flow. Limited instability from residual high pressure reduces upside risk for 25°C+, while overnight lows near 17°C support the observed consensus without significant model spread. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$400Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling from maritime air advection and increased cloud cover following mid-August heatwave conditions has positioned 23°C as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability, with 24°C at 34%. Official Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show daytime maxima clustering tightly around 23–24°C for August 22, consistent with seasonal norms near 24°C and steering patterns favoring moderate westerly flow. Limited instability from residual high pressure reduces upside risk for 25°C+, while overnight lows near 17°C support the observed consensus without significant model spread. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$400Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling from maritime air advection and increased cloud cover following mid-August heatwave conditions has positioned 23°C as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability, with 24°C at 34%. Official Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts show daytime maxima clustering tightly around 23–24°C for August 22, consistent with seasonal norms near 24°C and steering patterns favoring moderate westerly flow. Limited instability from residual high pressure reduces upside risk for 25°C+, while overnight lows near 17°C support the observed consensus without significant model spread. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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