Recent forecasts for Qingdao on August 24 indicate overnight lows near 24–27°C amid light rain and isolated thunderstorms, driven by typical late-summer maritime influences and cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Trader emphasis on 22°C or below (43.5% implied probability) likely reflects model uncertainty around enhanced precipitation and potential sea-breeze effects, while probabilities for 26–28°C cluster around historical August averages of 23–24°C lows. The secondary weighting toward 32°C or higher (23.5%) appears tied to residual heat under partly cloudy conditions. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official agency guidance on rain timing will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24?
22°C or below 87%
32°C or higher 46%
28°C 37%
23°C 36%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
87%
23°C
36%
24°C
19%
25°C
19%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
37%
29°C
2%
30°C
36%
31°C
36%
32°C or higher
46%
22°C or below 87%
32°C or higher 46%
28°C 37%
23°C 36%
BARU
BARU
Aug 24, 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
87%
23°C
$5 Vol.
36%
24°C
$0 Vol.
19%
25°C
$0 Vol.
19%
26°C
$18 Vol.
19%
27°C
$0 Vol.
19%
28°C
$5 Vol.
37%
29°C
$5 Vol.
2%
30°C
$5 Vol.
36%
31°C
$5 Vol.
36%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao on August 24 indicate overnight lows near 24–27°C amid light rain and isolated thunderstorms, driven by typical late-summer maritime influences and cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Trader emphasis on 22°C or below (43.5% implied probability) likely reflects model uncertainty around enhanced precipitation and potential sea-breeze effects, while probabilities for 26–28°C cluster around historical August averages of 23–24°C lows. The secondary weighting toward 32°C or higher (23.5%) appears tied to residual heat under partly cloudy conditions. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official agency guidance on rain timing will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$53Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Qingdao on August 24 indicate overnight lows near 24–27°C amid light rain and isolated thunderstorms, driven by typical late-summer maritime influences and cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Trader emphasis on 22°C or below (43.5% implied probability) likely reflects model uncertainty around enhanced precipitation and potential sea-breeze effects, while probabilities for 26–28°C cluster around historical August averages of 23–24°C lows. The secondary weighting toward 32°C or higher (23.5%) appears tied to residual heat under partly cloudy conditions. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official agency guidance on rain timing will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 24, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Qingdao on August 24 indicate overnight lows near 24–27°C amid light rain and isolated thunderstorms, driven by typical late-summer maritime influences and cloud cover that limit radiative cooling. Trader emphasis on 22°C or below (43.5% implied probability) likely reflects model uncertainty around enhanced precipitation and potential sea-breeze effects, while probabilities for 26–28°C cluster around historical August averages of 23–24°C lows. The secondary weighting toward 32°C or higher (23.5%) appears tied to residual heat under partly cloudy conditions. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official agency guidance on rain timing will likely refine these market-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan