Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to overnight lows of 25–26°C in coastal Qingdao on August 22, shaped by persistent summer monsoon moisture, southeasterly flow, and scattered thundershowers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions, combined with the Yellow Sea's moderating influence on a city where historical August minima average near 23°C, explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Model spread in cloud cover, wind shifts, and localized precipitation timing introduces the observed uncertainty, with new runs and observational updates expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 22?
24°C 57%
23°C 31%
25°C 31%
20°C or below 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
20°C or below
27%
21°C
25%
22°C
20%
23°C
31%
24°C
39%
25°C
31%
26°C
26%
27°C
24%
28°C
16%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
2%
24°C 57%
23°C 31%
25°C 31%
20°C or below 27%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
20°C or below
$5 Vol.
27%
21°C
$5 Vol.
25%
22°C
$0 Vol.
20%
23°C
$0 Vol.
31%
24°C
$32 Vol.
39%
25°C
$0 Vol.
31%
26°C
$0 Vol.
26%
27°C
$0 Vol.
24%
28°C
$5 Vol.
16%
29°C
$16 Vol.
2%
30°C or higher
$16 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to overnight lows of 25–26°C in coastal Qingdao on August 22, shaped by persistent summer monsoon moisture, southeasterly flow, and scattered thundershowers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions, combined with the Yellow Sea's moderating influence on a city where historical August minima average near 23°C, explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Model spread in cloud cover, wind shifts, and localized precipitation timing introduces the observed uncertainty, with new runs and observational updates expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Volume
$64Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to overnight lows of 25–26°C in coastal Qingdao on August 22, shaped by persistent summer monsoon moisture, southeasterly flow, and scattered thundershowers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions, combined with the Yellow Sea's moderating influence on a city where historical August minima average near 23°C, explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Model spread in cloud cover, wind shifts, and localized precipitation timing introduces the observed uncertainty, with new runs and observational updates expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$64Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles point to overnight lows of 25–26°C in coastal Qingdao on August 22, shaped by persistent summer monsoon moisture, southeasterly flow, and scattered thundershowers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. These conditions, combined with the Yellow Sea's moderating influence on a city where historical August minima average near 23°C, explain the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 23–25°C. Model spread in cloud cover, wind shifts, and localized precipitation timing introduces the observed uncertainty, with new runs and observational updates expected to refine the outcome before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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