**Trader consensus has locked onto 24°C as the lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 21, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models and real-time observations from coastal Shandong align on an overnight minimum near this threshold, consistent with humid, stable maritime air under light easterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling. Current conditions show temperatures holding in the mid-20s°C through the night, with dew points near 24–26°C and only modest diurnal ranges. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 22°C, yet persistent warmth this season has elevated the floor. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in onshore flow or heavy precipitation triggering localized cooling below 24°C before midnight local time; absent new model runs or station data indicating such a shift, the market-implied outcome remains firmly supported by the weight of observational evidence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Qingdao on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 21?
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$3,308 Vol.
$3,308 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$3,308 Vol.
$3,308 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
19°C or below
$144 Vol.
No
20°C
$133 Vol.
No
21°C
$193 Vol.
No
22°C
$235 Vol.
No
23°C
$466 Vol.
No
24°C
$1,184 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$564 Vol.
No
26°C
$95 Vol.
No
27°C
$105 Vol.
No
28°C
$95 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$95 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto 24°C as the lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 21, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models and real-time observations from coastal Shandong align on an overnight minimum near this threshold, consistent with humid, stable maritime air under light easterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling. Current conditions show temperatures holding in the mid-20s°C through the night, with dew points near 24–26°C and only modest diurnal ranges. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 22°C, yet persistent warmth this season has elevated the floor. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in onshore flow or heavy precipitation triggering localized cooling below 24°C before midnight local time; absent new model runs or station data indicating such a shift, the market-implied outcome remains firmly supported by the weight of observational evidence.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$3,308Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has locked onto 24°C as the lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 21, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models and real-time observations from coastal Shandong align on an overnight minimum near this threshold, consistent with humid, stable maritime air under light easterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling. Current conditions show temperatures holding in the mid-20s°C through the night, with dew points near 24–26°C and only modest diurnal ranges. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 22°C, yet persistent warmth this season has elevated the floor. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in onshore flow or heavy precipitation triggering localized cooling below 24°C before midnight local time; absent new model runs or station data indicating such a shift, the market-implied outcome remains firmly supported by the weight of observational evidence.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,308Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
**Trader consensus has locked onto 24°C as the lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 21, 2026, at 99.5% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models and real-time observations from coastal Shandong align on an overnight minimum near this threshold, consistent with humid, stable maritime air under light easterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling. Current conditions show temperatures holding in the mid-20s°C through the night, with dew points near 24–26°C and only modest diurnal ranges. Historical August climatology places typical lows around 22°C, yet persistent warmth this season has elevated the floor. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected surge in onshore flow or heavy precipitation triggering localized cooling below 24°C before midnight local time; absent new model runs or station data indicating such a shift, the market-implied outcome remains firmly supported by the weight of observational evidence.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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