Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on daytime maxima of 27–29°C for Istanbul on August 23, supported by persistent high pressure and light northerly flow that promotes mostly sunny conditions while sea-breeze effects along the Bosphorus provide modest cooling. This narrow range drives the closely matched market-implied odds for 29°C, 28°C, and 27°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model spread and local microclimate influences typical for late-summer Marmara conditions. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 28–30°C, with limited day-to-day variability expected until final station observations resolve the outcome. Traders will monitor the next deterministic model runs for any shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could tip thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
27°C 35%
28°C 34%
29°C 30%
26°C 21%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
21%
27°C
35%
28°C
34%
29°C
30%
30°C
6%
31°C
6%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
3%
27°C 35%
28°C 34%
29°C 30%
26°C 21%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
23°C or below
$20 Vol.
3%
24°C
$20 Vol.
6%
25°C
$20 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
21%
27°C
$59 Vol.
35%
28°C
$0 Vol.
34%
29°C
$0 Vol.
30%
30°C
$0 Vol.
6%
31°C
$0 Vol.
6%
32°C
$20 Vol.
6%
33°C or higher
$20 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on daytime maxima of 27–29°C for Istanbul on August 23, supported by persistent high pressure and light northerly flow that promotes mostly sunny conditions while sea-breeze effects along the Bosphorus provide modest cooling. This narrow range drives the closely matched market-implied odds for 29°C, 28°C, and 27°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model spread and local microclimate influences typical for late-summer Marmara conditions. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 28–30°C, with limited day-to-day variability expected until final station observations resolve the outcome. Traders will monitor the next deterministic model runs for any shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could tip thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$159Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on daytime maxima of 27–29°C for Istanbul on August 23, supported by persistent high pressure and light northerly flow that promotes mostly sunny conditions while sea-breeze effects along the Bosphorus provide modest cooling. This narrow range drives the closely matched market-implied odds for 29°C, 28°C, and 27°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model spread and local microclimate influences typical for late-summer Marmara conditions. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 28–30°C, with limited day-to-day variability expected until final station observations resolve the outcome. Traders will monitor the next deterministic model runs for any shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could tip thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$159Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service, ECMWF, and GFS models converge on daytime maxima of 27–29°C for Istanbul on August 23, supported by persistent high pressure and light northerly flow that promotes mostly sunny conditions while sea-breeze effects along the Bosphorus provide modest cooling. This narrow range drives the closely matched market-implied odds for 29°C, 28°C, and 27°C, reflecting genuine uncertainty in model spread and local microclimate influences typical for late-summer Marmara conditions. Historical August climatology shows average highs near 28–30°C, with limited day-to-day variability expected until final station observations resolve the outcome. Traders will monitor the next deterministic model runs for any shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could tip thresholds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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