Chongqing’s late-August subtropical climate, shaped by the Sichuan Basin’s topographic trapping of heat under persistent high pressure and weak steering flow, typically produces daily maxima of 33–37°C amid elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Current short-range model guidance clusters around 36–38°C for August 23, aligning with historical August patterns and supporting the market’s leading 37°C outcome at 37.5% implied probability. Recent ensemble runs show modest spread, with some scenarios permitting 38°C or higher under stronger subsidence or urban heat-island amplification, reflected in the 25% share for that bin, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Updated forecasts from regional meteorological centers will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 23?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 23?
37°C 38%
38°C or higher 25%
36°C 22%
35°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
4%
35°C
9%
36°C
22%
37°C
38%
38°C or higher
25%
37°C 38%
38°C or higher 25%
36°C 22%
35°C 9%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
28°C or below
$222 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$222 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,200 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,799 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$484 Vol.
2%
33°C
$261 Vol.
3%
34°C
$698 Vol.
4%
35°C
$404 Vol.
9%
36°C
$513 Vol.
22%
37°C
$2,301 Vol.
38%
38°C or higher
$627 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing’s late-August subtropical climate, shaped by the Sichuan Basin’s topographic trapping of heat under persistent high pressure and weak steering flow, typically produces daily maxima of 33–37°C amid elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Current short-range model guidance clusters around 36–38°C for August 23, aligning with historical August patterns and supporting the market’s leading 37°C outcome at 37.5% implied probability. Recent ensemble runs show modest spread, with some scenarios permitting 38°C or higher under stronger subsidence or urban heat-island amplification, reflected in the 25% share for that bin, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Updated forecasts from regional meteorological centers will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$8,732Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Chongqing’s late-August subtropical climate, shaped by the Sichuan Basin’s topographic trapping of heat under persistent high pressure and weak steering flow, typically produces daily maxima of 33–37°C amid elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Current short-range model guidance clusters around 36–38°C for August 23, aligning with historical August patterns and supporting the market’s leading 37°C outcome at 37.5% implied probability. Recent ensemble runs show modest spread, with some scenarios permitting 38°C or higher under stronger subsidence or urban heat-island amplification, reflected in the 25% share for that bin, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Updated forecasts from regional meteorological centers will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,732Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chongqing’s late-August subtropical climate, shaped by the Sichuan Basin’s topographic trapping of heat under persistent high pressure and weak steering flow, typically produces daily maxima of 33–37°C amid elevated humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Current short-range model guidance clusters around 36–38°C for August 23, aligning with historical August patterns and supporting the market’s leading 37°C outcome at 37.5% implied probability. Recent ensemble runs show modest spread, with some scenarios permitting 38°C or higher under stronger subsidence or urban heat-island amplification, reflected in the 25% share for that bin, while lower outcomes remain discounted absent significant frontal passage or increased cloud cover. Updated forecasts from regional meteorological centers will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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