Latest AEMET guidance and GFS/ECMWF model consensus point to a mostly clear Sunday with southerly flow supporting afternoon highs near 33°C in Madrid, driving the tight 38–42.5% split between 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Daytime heating under light winds and low humidity favors the upper end of that range, while modest model differences in cloud evolution or boundary-layer mixing keep 33°C competitive. The prior week’s elevated readings (peaks near 38°C) reflect a broader warm anomaly now moderating, with no significant synoptic change expected before resolution. Updated agency forecasts and next model cycles will refine the precise threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Madrid on August 23?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 23?
34°C 43%
33°C 39%
35°C 11%
32°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
6%
33°C
39%
34°C
43%
35°C
11%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 43%
33°C 39%
35°C 11%
32°C 6%
BARU
BARU
Aug 23, 2026
29°C or below
$456 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$91 Vol.
1%
31°C
$166 Vol.
2%
32°C
$98 Vol.
6%
33°C
$612 Vol.
39%
34°C
$302 Vol.
43%
35°C
$184 Vol.
11%
36°C
$252 Vol.
2%
37°C
$82 Vol.
1%
38°C
$68 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$201 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET guidance and GFS/ECMWF model consensus point to a mostly clear Sunday with southerly flow supporting afternoon highs near 33°C in Madrid, driving the tight 38–42.5% split between 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Daytime heating under light winds and low humidity favors the upper end of that range, while modest model differences in cloud evolution or boundary-layer mixing keep 33°C competitive. The prior week’s elevated readings (peaks near 38°C) reflect a broader warm anomaly now moderating, with no significant synoptic change expected before resolution. Updated agency forecasts and next model cycles will refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$2,512Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest AEMET guidance and GFS/ECMWF model consensus point to a mostly clear Sunday with southerly flow supporting afternoon highs near 33°C in Madrid, driving the tight 38–42.5% split between 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Daytime heating under light winds and low humidity favors the upper end of that range, while modest model differences in cloud evolution or boundary-layer mixing keep 33°C competitive. The prior week’s elevated readings (peaks near 38°C) reflect a broader warm anomaly now moderating, with no significant synoptic change expected before resolution. Updated agency forecasts and next model cycles will refine the precise threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,512Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 23, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest AEMET guidance and GFS/ECMWF model consensus point to a mostly clear Sunday with southerly flow supporting afternoon highs near 33°C in Madrid, driving the tight 38–42.5% split between 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Daytime heating under light winds and low humidity favors the upper end of that range, while modest model differences in cloud evolution or boundary-layer mixing keep 33°C competitive. The prior week’s elevated readings (peaks near 38°C) reflect a broader warm anomaly now moderating, with no significant synoptic change expected before resolution. Updated agency forecasts and next model cycles will refine the precise threshold.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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