**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low for Hong Kong on August 21, 2026, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of a 26–30°C daily range and current regional observations showing overnight minima near 25–26°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers.** A broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea is driving humid southerly flow and convective activity that limits radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures aligned with mid-August climatological normals of roughly 25–26°C. Recent station data from the Observatory and surrounding sites confirm daytime readings in the upper 20s with dew points near 25°C, supporting limited overnight drops. While model consensus holds firm, any unexpected clear skies or shifts in steering flow could allow a dip to 24°C; conversely, stronger showers or delayed cooling would sustain readings at or above 26°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
25°C 98%
24°C 3%
23°C <1%
28°C <1%
$34,354 Vol.
$34,354 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
98%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 98%
24°C 3%
23°C <1%
28°C <1%
$34,354 Vol.
$34,354 Vol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
98%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 25°C low for Hong Kong on August 21, 2026, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts of a 26–30°C daily range and current regional observations showing overnight minima near 25–26°C under persistent cloud cover and scattered showers.** A broad low-pressure trough over the northern South China Sea is driving humid southerly flow and convective activity that limits radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures aligned with mid-August climatological normals of roughly 25–26°C. Recent station data from the Observatory and surrounding sites confirm daytime readings in the upper 20s with dew points near 25°C, supporting limited overnight drops. While model consensus holds firm, any unexpected clear skies or shifts in steering flow could allow a dip to 24°C; conversely, stronger showers or delayed cooling would sustain readings at or above 26°C.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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