Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Los Angeles indicates overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s°F on August 22, shaped by a persistent marine layer advecting cooler Pacific air onshore under a strong subtropical high. This setup typically suppresses minimum temperatures near the coast by 3–6°F below inland valleys through radiative cooling and fog development, aligning with climatological August averages around 66°F at KLAX. Trader emphasis on the 57°F-or-below bin at 48.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty in marine-layer depth and timing, while clustered mid-60s outcomes near 24–27% capture the most probable range. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine the final recorded low at official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 22?
57°F or below 93%
76°F or higher 52%
60-61°F 44%
62-63°F 38%
57°F or below
93%
58-59°F
28%
60-61°F
44%
62-63°F
38%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76°F or higher
52%
57°F or below 93%
76°F or higher 52%
60-61°F 44%
62-63°F 38%
57°F or below
93%
58-59°F
28%
60-61°F
44%
62-63°F
38%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
28%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76°F or higher
52%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Los Angeles indicates overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 60s°F on August 22, shaped by a persistent marine layer advecting cooler Pacific air onshore under a strong subtropical high. This setup typically suppresses minimum temperatures near the coast by 3–6°F below inland valleys through radiative cooling and fog development, aligning with climatological August averages around 66°F at KLAX. Trader emphasis on the 57°F-or-below bin at 48.5% implied probability reflects uncertainty in marine-layer depth and timing, while clustered mid-60s outcomes near 24–27% capture the most probable range. Updated model runs tonight and early-morning observations will refine the final recorded low at official stations.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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