Recent model consensus from MetService and international guidance points to a high of 13–14 °C in Wellington on 21 August, driven by a shift from cool southerlies to milder northerly flow under scattered cloud and moderate winds. This pattern has kept recent daily maxima near or slightly below the August average of ~13–14 °C, with no strong warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected. Traders therefore assign the bulk of probability to the 13 °C and 14 °C bins, reflecting the narrow forecast spread and typical winter variability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will be the main catalyst for any adjustment in implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 21?
14°C 56%
13°C 35%
15°C 8%
12°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
4%
13°C
35%
14°C
56%
15°C
8%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 56%
13°C 35%
15°C 8%
12°C 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
8°C or below
$261 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$318 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$160 Vol.
1%
11°C
$5 Vol.
3%
12°C
$175 Vol.
4%
13°C
$182 Vol.
35%
14°C
$328 Vol.
56%
15°C
$171 Vol.
8%
16°C
$5 Vol.
1%
17°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$144 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from MetService and international guidance points to a high of 13–14 °C in Wellington on 21 August, driven by a shift from cool southerlies to milder northerly flow under scattered cloud and moderate winds. This pattern has kept recent daily maxima near or slightly below the August average of ~13–14 °C, with no strong warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected. Traders therefore assign the bulk of probability to the 13 °C and 14 °C bins, reflecting the narrow forecast spread and typical winter variability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will be the main catalyst for any adjustment in implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,935Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from MetService and international guidance points to a high of 13–14 °C in Wellington on 21 August, driven by a shift from cool southerlies to milder northerly flow under scattered cloud and moderate winds. This pattern has kept recent daily maxima near or slightly below the August average of ~13–14 °C, with no strong warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected. Traders therefore assign the bulk of probability to the 13 °C and 14 °C bins, reflecting the narrow forecast spread and typical winter variability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will be the main catalyst for any adjustment in implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,935Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from MetService and international guidance points to a high of 13–14 °C in Wellington on 21 August, driven by a shift from cool southerlies to milder northerly flow under scattered cloud and moderate winds. This pattern has kept recent daily maxima near or slightly below the August average of ~13–14 °C, with no strong warm-air advection or clear-sky radiative heating expected. Traders therefore assign the bulk of probability to the 13 °C and 14 °C bins, reflecting the narrow forecast spread and typical winter variability. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will be the main catalyst for any adjustment in implied odds.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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