Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 105–106°F on August 22 under persistent heat dome conditions featuring clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal moisture. This aligns with the market’s leading 104–105°F outcome at 53% implied probability, as recent model runs and climatological baselines (August average high ~96°F) cluster daily maxima in the mid-100s. Minor forecast spread around exact peak temperature, driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection, supports secondary probabilities for 102–103°F and 106–107°F. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Austin on August 22?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 22?
104-105°F 53%
102-103°F 25%
106-107°F 20%
108-109°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
1%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
25%
104-105°F
53%
106-107°F
20%
108-109°F
4%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 53%
102-103°F 25%
106-107°F 20%
108-109°F 4%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
95°F or below
$60 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$122 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$41 Vol.
1%
100-101°F
$101 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$347 Vol.
25%
104-105°F
$332 Vol.
53%
106-107°F
$256 Vol.
20%
108-109°F
$126 Vol.
4%
110-111°F
$162 Vol.
1%
112-113°F
$284 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$153 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 105–106°F on August 22 under persistent heat dome conditions featuring clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal moisture. This aligns with the market’s leading 104–105°F outcome at 53% implied probability, as recent model runs and climatological baselines (August average high ~96°F) cluster daily maxima in the mid-100s. Minor forecast spread around exact peak temperature, driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection, supports secondary probabilities for 102–103°F and 106–107°F. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$1,983Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 105–106°F on August 22 under persistent heat dome conditions featuring clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal moisture. This aligns with the market’s leading 104–105°F outcome at 53% implied probability, as recent model runs and climatological baselines (August average high ~96°F) cluster daily maxima in the mid-100s. Minor forecast spread around exact peak temperature, driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection, supports secondary probabilities for 102–103°F and 106–107°F. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,983Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 105–106°F on August 22 under persistent heat dome conditions featuring clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal moisture. This aligns with the market’s leading 104–105°F outcome at 53% implied probability, as recent model runs and climatological baselines (August average high ~96°F) cluster daily maxima in the mid-100s. Minor forecast spread around exact peak temperature, driven by subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and any late-day convection, supports secondary probabilities for 102–103°F and 106–107°F. Updated NWS guidance and real-time observations tomorrow morning will provide the final data for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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