Persistent hot and humid conditions across Hong Kong in late August 2026, with seasonal forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicating normal to above-normal temperatures, support trader focus on overnight lows clustered around 26–28°C. Thunderstorms and showers expected on August 22 limit nighttime radiative cooling under cloudy skies, while high humidity and the urban heat island effect further anchor minimum readings near 27°C—the market’s leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability. Recent model guidance showing daily ranges of roughly 28–32°C aligns with these odds, as any brief clearing would be needed for cooler values near 25–26°C to materialize, though such scenarios remain secondary given the stable subtropical pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
27°C 41%
28°C 23%
26°C 21%
25°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
14%
26°C
21%
27°C
41%
28°C
23%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
28°C 23%
26°C 21%
25°C 14%
BARU
BARU
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
$760 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$163 Vol.
1%
24°C
$476 Vol.
2%
25°C
$510 Vol.
14%
26°C
$692 Vol.
21%
27°C
$493 Vol.
41%
28°C
$698 Vol.
23%
29°C
$1,754 Vol.
3%
30°C
$380 Vol.
1%
31°C
$501 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$516 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent hot and humid conditions across Hong Kong in late August 2026, with seasonal forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicating normal to above-normal temperatures, support trader focus on overnight lows clustered around 26–28°C. Thunderstorms and showers expected on August 22 limit nighttime radiative cooling under cloudy skies, while high humidity and the urban heat island effect further anchor minimum readings near 27°C—the market’s leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability. Recent model guidance showing daily ranges of roughly 28–32°C aligns with these odds, as any brief clearing would be needed for cooler values near 25–26°C to materialize, though such scenarios remain secondary given the stable subtropical pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$6,943Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent hot and humid conditions across Hong Kong in late August 2026, with seasonal forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicating normal to above-normal temperatures, support trader focus on overnight lows clustered around 26–28°C. Thunderstorms and showers expected on August 22 limit nighttime radiative cooling under cloudy skies, while high humidity and the urban heat island effect further anchor minimum readings near 27°C—the market’s leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability. Recent model guidance showing daily ranges of roughly 28–32°C aligns with these odds, as any brief clearing would be needed for cooler values near 25–26°C to materialize, though such scenarios remain secondary given the stable subtropical pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,943Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 22, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent hot and humid conditions across Hong Kong in late August 2026, with seasonal forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicating normal to above-normal temperatures, support trader focus on overnight lows clustered around 26–28°C. Thunderstorms and showers expected on August 22 limit nighttime radiative cooling under cloudy skies, while high humidity and the urban heat island effect further anchor minimum readings near 27°C—the market’s leading outcome at 40.5% implied probability. Recent model guidance showing daily ranges of roughly 28–32°C aligns with these odds, as any brief clearing would be needed for cooler values near 25–26°C to materialize, though such scenarios remain secondary given the stable subtropical pattern.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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