Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a peak of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 21 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on those outcomes. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing near 31–32°C through mid-August amid typical continental summer conditions, with minimal precipitation and gradual warming tied to seasonal high-pressure patterns. Model agreement on modest daytime heating and stable steering flows supports limited upside risk above 33°C, though small forecast revisions in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the exact maximum. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the narrow implied-probability range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Ankara on August 21?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 21?
32°C 59%
33°C 33%
31°C 8%
34°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
59%
33°C
33%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 59%
33°C 33%
31°C 8%
34°C 3%
BARU
BARU
Aug 21, 2026
28°C or below
$434 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$297 Vol.
2%
31°C
$899 Vol.
8%
32°C
$721 Vol.
59%
33°C
$1,343 Vol.
33%
34°C
$501 Vol.
3%
35°C
$151 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$232 Vol.
1%
37°C
$180 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a peak of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 21 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on those outcomes. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing near 31–32°C through mid-August amid typical continental summer conditions, with minimal precipitation and gradual warming tied to seasonal high-pressure patterns. Model agreement on modest daytime heating and stable steering flows supports limited upside risk above 33°C, though small forecast revisions in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the exact maximum. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the narrow implied-probability range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,373Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a peak of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 21 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on those outcomes. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing near 31–32°C through mid-August amid typical continental summer conditions, with minimal precipitation and gradual warming tied to seasonal high-pressure patterns. Model agreement on modest daytime heating and stable steering flows supports limited upside risk above 33°C, though small forecast revisions in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the exact maximum. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the narrow implied-probability range.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,373Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 21, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a peak of 32–33°C in Ankara on August 21 under sunny skies and light northeasterly winds, aligning with the market's heaviest trading on those outcomes. Recent observations show daily highs stabilizing near 31–32°C through mid-August amid typical continental summer conditions, with minimal precipitation and gradual warming tied to seasonal high-pressure patterns. Model agreement on modest daytime heating and stable steering flows supports limited upside risk above 33°C, though small forecast revisions in boundary-layer mixing or insolation could shift the exact maximum. Historical August averages near 32°C provide context for the narrow implied-probability range.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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